CNN lead story - saying the senate is lost to the dems

[Liberal_in_LA]

Today . saying the math is impossible

No need to vote people. It's over.

[muntrv]

1. Is CNN saying lost to the dems or lost to the repubs?

On edit: I saw the headline on CNN.com. Asking if Repubs have already won the Senate.

[dixiegrrrrl]

2. How irresponsible of them!

CNN is not a valid news source, as far as I am concerned.
We should let its sponsors know our disapproval.

[Savannahmann]

11. Who would you prefer?

How about Huffington Post? They have it as a 55% probability that the Republicans will win the Senate. http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2014/senate-outlook

How about the NY Times? It changes every day, but today it's a 68% probability. http://www.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2014/senate-model/

I know, we can get some good news from Daily Kos. http://www.dailykos.com/poll-explorer/2014-senate



Er. No. Not so much. Highest probability is that the Republicans will win the Senate there too.

Damn it. OK, let's check in with 538 Blog. They've given us good news in the past.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/

Shit. Just shit. 57% probability there too.

Perhaps if we look at all the polls we can get some good news. RCP? http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/2014_elections_senate_map_no_toss_ups.html

Oh FFS. 52 seats to the Republicans.

Perhaps you have a link to a site, because I'm all out of bookmarks where I get my information.

[madville]

15. The overall consensus

Is that the Republucans have a good shot at 51 or 52 seats when it's over, that's what everyone is saying.

It may actually be worse if Democratic turnout is weaker than expected.

[Cali_Democrat]

3. CNN doesn't even try to pretend anymore

Remember during the 2012 election when Obama was well ahead of Romney in one of their polls, but they called it a tie?

Of course if a poll came out showing Romney ahead of Obama, they would tout it as proof Obama was going to get shellacked.

These guys don't even pretend anymore.

They've got their marching orders and they execute their game plan on a daily basis.

[blkmusclmachine]

4. Dump the CNN propaganda and GOTV. CNN hopes to create its preferred reality, of a GOP Congress.

[Ryano42]

5. Oh thank God...now I don't have to waste my time and vote!

Between all the bashing and arguing here and Crap News Network calling the race, I can now spend my time better by sealing myself in plastic wrap and duct tape!

Thank you all.

[librechik]

6. "lost to the Dems?" shouldn't that be "won by the Dems?"

CNN showing off its vast liberal slant again.

[Beaverhausen]

7. let me guess...a commercial for Koch Industries came on right after

fuck CNN

[Andy823]

8. More CNN bullshit

It's all about trying to discourage democrat from voting. If you can convince them it's a "lost cause" MAYBE they will stay home.

CNN bought and paid for by the right wing corporate assholes, or the Koch brothers.

[Rex]

9. CNN is just Foxnews Lite.

Sounds like the M$M is nervous.

[antiquie]

10. This an email headline from Daily KOS Recommended:

We’re not f--king kidding: Republicans are favored to take control of the Senate in 26 days. No matter where you live, please sign up to make phone calls to Democratic voters in the toss-up states that will decide the election.

[herding cats]

13. ^^^ THIS!

We should all be working our fingers off doing what we can to help in toss-up states!

[gratuitous]

12. Not sure what their math is

From all appearances, the Republicans are in big danger of losing seats in Kentucky and Kansas, South Dakota has suddenly gone from locked-up to toss-up, and Georgia might go with a Republican. If the Republicans lose those four seats, it doesn't much matter what happens in the rest of the country.

In the meantime, get out the vote. The more voters, the more Democrats win.

[Savannahmann]

16. I'm not sure where you get your numbers.

South Dakota will go to a runoff. For the Democrat to win, every one of the people who voted for either the Democrat (Weiland) or the Independent (Pressler) will have to show up and vote against the Republican in the runoff. The chances of that happening are a little slim don't you think? http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/sd/south_dakota_senate_rounds_vs_weiland-4091.html

Kentucky? http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ky/kentucky_senate_mcconnell_vs_grimes-3485.html Look at the numbers, not just the ones where Grimes is winning, which are about one out of four polls, and inconsistant in which polls show her winning. For example, the Courier poll that shows her up by two now had her down by four, and down by two in the previous two cycles of the poll. For Grimes to win, the Undecideds are going to have to break at a ration of more than two to one for her. In other words, for every undecided that casts their ballot for McConnell, more than two undecided voters will have to tap the screen next to Grimes. Possible, but not very likely.

Kansas. The Democrats pulled out of the race. Everyone is calling it for the Independant at this point, but even with that the Rethugs are looking at 52 seats. http://www.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2014/senate-model/

But what assurance do we have that the independent in Kansas will caucus with the Democrats? http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ks/kansas_senate_roberts_vs_orman-5216.html

If you had a choice of trying to keep your seat in six years, do you think you could get your name in the paper and thus get free publicity as a member of the minority, or the majority party? If the Rethugs promise not to primary him in six years, and give him a good committee assignment, what are the chances that Greg Orman won't jump to their side? But lets say he doesn't, let's say he goes with our party. We would still only have 48 seats in the Senate.

I live in Georgia. It is going Republican in the Senate Race. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ga/georgia_senate_perdue_vs_nunn-4040.html Here again, Nunn would have to pick up more than two votes of the undecided to get over 50%. It's possible she will get more independents than Purdue, but not likely that she'll get that many more.

Colorado is close, and could go either way. It is within the MOE for most of the polls. In that race, using the averages, we just need a few more undecided than the Republicans get.

[FSogol]

18. Amen: "In the meantime, get out the vote. The more voters, the more Democrats win."

Lots of folks seem to be quite content to bash Democratic chances. Wonder why?

[gratuitous]

21. It's a mystery to me

Wait; no it's not.

[zappaman]

14. Stay home everybody!

It's over.

[TheNutcracker]

17. The senate will change medicare just in time for many of those entering....no more 55yr old shit.

They will do this N O W.

Soc Sec? Same thing. Stocks are down...all 401k's down now...and they want this for your retirement?????


Look out. Dems better get off their butts and vote. They ARE known to sit out these midterm elections.

Oh, and Fuck CNN.

I cut my cable and don't miss it a bit!!!

Got a LAVA antenna for the roof and a roku for lots and lots of TV....anything I want that's over the internet, is now on my BIG screen TV in HD. All for free.

One time buy for antenna and one time buy for Roku. Both cheaper than two months of cable.

Do it! CUT THAT CORD! Send these propagandist bastards a lesson!

[Tatiana]

19. It's not lost by any means. The Dems will pull it out.

I think we'll probably pull off at least one upset (Kentucky or Kansas). I was worried about Kay Hagan, but she looked strong in her debate and helped herself a lot with her performance.

[pstokely]

20. don't GOTV, it's over

stay home

[JaneyVee]

22. Sucks but it wouldn't be the first time Dems lost the Senate.

America has a short term memory. By all means GOTV. In 2016 we can sweep once again.