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Fri Oct 31, 2014, 02:43 PM

 

Early Voting Numbers Look Good for Democrats, black votes look real good

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/10/31/upshot/early-voting-election-results-hold-good-news-for-democrats.html

Early Voting Numbers Look Good for Democrats
By NATE COHN
OCTOBER 31, 2014
Democratic efforts to turn out the young and nonwhite voters who sat out the 2010 midterm elections appear to be paying off in several Senate battleground states.

More than 20 percent of the nearly three million votes already tabulated in Georgia, North Carolina, Colorado and Iowa have come from people who did not vote in the last midterm election, according to an analysis of early-voting data by The Upshot.

These voters who did not participate in 2010 are far more diverse and Democratic than the voters from four years ago. On average across these states, 39 percent are registered Democrats and 30 percent are registered Republicans. By comparison, registered Republicans outnumbered Democrats in these states by an average of 1 percentage point in 2010.

The turnout among black voters is particularly encouraging for Democrats, who need strong black turnout to compete in racially polarized states like Georgia and North Carolina. In those two states, black voters so far represent 30 percent of the voters who did not participate in 2010. By comparison, 24 percent of all those who voted in those states in 2010 were black.

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Reply Early Voting Numbers Look Good for Democrats, black votes look real good (Original post)
Liberal_in_LA Oct 2014 OP
Kalidurga Oct 2014 #1
B2G Oct 2014 #2
Liberal_in_LA Oct 2014 #3
haele Oct 2014 #4
merrily Oct 2014 #7
dsc Oct 2014 #9
hollowdweller Oct 2014 #5
merrily Oct 2014 #6
appalachiablue Oct 2014 #8
Wella Oct 2014 #10
AnalystInParadise Oct 2014 #11

Response to Liberal_in_LA (Original post)

Fri Oct 31, 2014, 02:47 PM

1. Good news

I hope that counters the effects of people not being able to vote because someone kicked them off the list of eligible voters because John Jones lives in Vermont, California, and Georgia, and all the other states. Oh and then some.

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Response to Liberal_in_LA (Original post)

Fri Oct 31, 2014, 02:48 PM

2. How do they know the race of the voters? nt

 

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Response to B2G (Reply #2)

Fri Oct 31, 2014, 02:54 PM

3. not sure

 

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Response to B2G (Reply #2)

Fri Oct 31, 2014, 02:56 PM

4. I think they're going by early voting precincts.

Black neighborhoods often do early voting/sunday voting because frankly, it's more difficult to get off work in the predominance of jobs that black people tend to find and they don't have to worry about getting harassed as much during early voting.
The gaggle of conservative/John Bircher type vote intimidators - err, "voter fraud monitors" aren't that large enough in numbers to be able to engage in more than one or two days of intimidation.

Haele

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Response to haele (Reply #4)

Fri Oct 31, 2014, 03:06 PM

7. Thanks. I knew early voting helped minorities, but I was not sure exactly why because working is not

a minority only phenomenon. And I never thought about the schedules of monitors at all. This gives me a better understanding

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Response to B2G (Reply #2)

Fri Oct 31, 2014, 08:01 PM

9. I can't speak for other states

but in NC we state our race when we register and we know who has voted, thus we know the race of who voted.

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Response to Liberal_in_LA (Original post)

Fri Oct 31, 2014, 02:59 PM

5. What if?

 


The voter supression laws passed end up supressing the low education blue collar white vote instead?

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Response to Liberal_in_LA (Original post)

Fri Oct 31, 2014, 03:02 PM

6. Very welcome news.

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Response to Liberal_in_LA (Original post)

Fri Oct 31, 2014, 07:50 PM

8. Great news; we need it.

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Response to Liberal_in_LA (Original post)

Fri Oct 31, 2014, 09:40 PM

10. We just have to keep this going

 

Good news, but don't get comfortable.

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