Friday Late Nite: 538 Hedging their Bets?

[Stallion]

Nate Silver's 538.com notes a number of close Friday polls from Republican pollsters (in Iowa, Alaska, New Hampshire, Iowa, Kansas and North Carolina) and concludes that while Republicans are winning where they need to, the Democrats are still in it:

"Overall, Republicans are leading in the races they need to be leading in. Although, as Friday’s polling demonstrates, they aren’t leading in enough states by a wide enough margin to feel overly confident about taking control of the Senate."

Decent late Friday polls-and by Republican pollsters

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/republicans-are-leading-where-they-need-to-lead-but-uncertainty-abounds/

[hrmjustin]

1. It is going to be a long night Tuesday.

[Jim Lane]

3. I'm not counting on getting a result even then

Alaska - can take days to get vote totals in from remote areas
Georgia and Louisiana - possible runoffs
Anywhere it's close - possible Franken-style disputed recounts

And even after we know the composition of the new Senate - what will Senators King and Orman do?

[lobodons]

2. Don't forget KY and GA

Can't count out KY and GA!!

[PCIntern]

4. On MSNBC, even Upchuck Toad is walking back his

earlier predictions...

it's really something...gonna be exciting night....hopefully with a good outcome.