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Mr.Bill

(24,286 posts)
Mon Nov 3, 2014, 08:11 PM Nov 2014

Does anyone else see this pattern?

The closer it gets to the election, the closer the polls show the candidates that are running against each other. Right now Tweety is making every race sound like a dead heat. I suspect tomorrow will show this to be far from the truth.

I haven't watched TV on election day in five years, because I have been working at the polls. I'm taking this year off so I'll be watching. I'm sure coverage has dumbed down and sensationalism has risen somewhat during those five years.

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Does anyone else see this pattern? (Original Post) Mr.Bill Nov 2014 OP
Suspense and drama lures eyeballs to the screen arcane1 Nov 2014 #1
bingo! NRaleighLiberal Nov 2014 #2
Well, first, Erich Bloodaxe BSN Nov 2014 #3
Exactly. Mr.Bill Nov 2014 #4
Nate Silver has written some interesting articles on the subject tritsofme Nov 2014 #5
First it is the Dems are going lose big upaloopa Nov 2014 #6
That's as valid a prediction as any other. Mr.Bill Nov 2014 #7
According to polls, 4 out of 5 people are different, and one is the same world wide wally Nov 2014 #8
Happens every election customerserviceguy Nov 2014 #9
Sports announcers don't mention the score during a blowout, either . . . Journeyman Nov 2014 #10

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
3. Well, first,
Mon Nov 3, 2014, 08:17 PM
Nov 2014

it's easier to hide scams when everyone expects a 'dead heat'. And people don't actually try to uncover them if they already expected the results to be 'close'. When Republicans in control at the county or state level 'suddenly' find several thousand votes, or in cases where votes exceed enrolled voters, the investigations just sort of 'die off'.

And second, of course, 'dead heats' mean media money. Races that are blowouts don't keep people watching the political shows.

tritsofme

(17,377 posts)
5. Nate Silver has written some interesting articles on the subject
Mon Nov 3, 2014, 08:18 PM
Nov 2014

Of how pollsters try to scurry toward the mean in their final polls. Unfortunately no link to offer.

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
6. First it is the Dems are going lose big
Mon Nov 3, 2014, 08:20 PM
Nov 2014

Now too close to call
My guess is Dems never were going to lose big

customerserviceguy

(25,183 posts)
9. Happens every election
Mon Nov 3, 2014, 09:55 PM
Nov 2014

I remember getting suckered into it way back in 1972, they actually made me believe that McGovern was going to possibly win it. Since then, I'm properly skeptical.

Journeyman

(15,031 posts)
10. Sports announcers don't mention the score during a blowout, either . . .
Mon Nov 3, 2014, 11:21 PM
Nov 2014

If you knew the score was 72-3 in the third quarter, would you stay around for the rest of the game?

The same ploy at play: Keep up the interest, even if there's no reason for it.

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