538's final gubernatorial forecast.

[RandySF]

I'll list the key races:

CT: Malloy 56%
ME: Michaud 57%
CO: Hickenlooper 57%
FL: Crist 60%
AK: Walker 61%
IL: Quinn 66%
MI: Snyder 75%
WI: Walker 75% (I think they will win or lose together)
KS: Davis 82%
MA: Baker 82%
GA: Deal 90%
MD: Brown 94%
NH: Hassan 98%
PA: Wolf 99%
HI: Ige 97%


http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-day-left-the-most-competitive-races-for-governor/

[Union Scribe]

1. I just can't believe Michigan voters.

This asshole gov ran on a moderate platform and fooled them the first time, then promptly showed he didn't give two shits about the voters' will as he pushed through radical ALEC-written legislation they explicitly voted down...and they're going to give the piece of shit a second term. Stupid damn people.

[shraby]

2. I wouldn't vote for any of the republicans even if they were the only

candidate on the ballot.
They stink big-time.

[alp227]

3. Scott Wanker has a 75% chance of winning? What the hell?

But wow lots of Democratic governors have the edge. I hope Hickenlooper's good chances spread to Udall too in Colorado. I can't imagine many "Hickenlooper for guv, Gardner for senate" voters out there. Same goes for Paul Davis in KS; Greg Orman can probably ride PD's coattails.

Charlie Baker on the other hand...geez I thought Massachusetts had better Democrats to choose from to nominate. Yet Coakley is so ineffective that Massachusites would rather vote for the "Republican in name only"? I don't remember the last Republican guv of MA who's considered a Reagan type. Romney? Hell no. Remember how conservatives denigrated him as a RINO yet backed him to challenge Obama in 2012? And I don't hear William Weld, Paul Cellucci, or Jane Swift touted as conservative icons. (Famously, Sen. Jesse Helms blocked Weld's nomination for US Amb. to Mexico for Weld being "soft on drugs".)

[DemocraticWing]

4. Clearly Coakley doesn't have what it takes to win a big race.

Puts Scott Brown's fluke win in even more perspective now. Baker's not awful for a Republican though, he seems to be more like Lincoln Chaffee than Mitt Romney.

[Tony_FLADEM]

5. It will be nice having a Democratic Governor Here in Florida

I hope that happens. I think Crist will win by 125,000 votes.

Then he can help rebuild the Florida Democratic Party and perhaps retake the legislature by 2020.

[mr_liberal]

6. Florida is what matters.

That gives the Dem nominee in 2016 a big advantage in FLA, and if the Dem wins FLA there's almost no way the Republican can win the election.

Also its probably better for 2016 for Republicans to control the congress (house and senate) because I don't think voters will want them to control the whole gov't and will be more likely to vote of the Dem for President. I think it almost guarantees a Dem win in 2016 if Republicans control the congress.