Third Israeli Poll: No Help For Bibi

[DonViejo]

By JOSH MARSHALL Published MARCH 6, 2015, 11:21 AM EST

I mentioned yesterday that the first two post-Speech polls out of Israel showed a modest bump for Prime Minister Netanyahu — neither the no-effect Zionist Camp/Labor was hoping for or the big bump Likud wanted. Now we have a third poll and it shows no effect at all.

The new poll is from the English-language Jerusalem Post. It shows ZC/Labor with a two seat lead over Likud, identical to the margin a week ago before the speech. 25/23 last week, 24/22 this week.

But the day-by-day breakdown is even more interesting. From the Post write up ...

The numbers for the Zionist Union and the Likud fluctuated both before and after Tuesday’s speech. A Panels Research poll taken for the Knesset Channel on Monday predicted 24 seats for the Zionist Union and 21 for the Likud. A poll Panels took immediately after the speech on Tuesday night and Wednesday gave the Zionist Union 23 seats and the Likud 22, while the Zionist Union gained a seat in the poll conducted on Wednesday and Thursday.

-snip-

As I said yesterday, we need three to five days of data to really have a sense of how or whether that played. And we'll have that by the end of the weekend.

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http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/third-israeli-poll-no-help-for-bibi

[Scurrilous]

1. Alas...