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Liberal_in_LA

(44,397 posts)
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 06:47 PM Nov 2015

Jeb's Florida poll numbers are unprecedentedly bad



Jeb Bush’s poll numbers in Florida are unprecedentedly bad


On cue, the Bay News 9/News 13 Florida Decides Poll was released — and it found Bush in a staggeringly weak position back home. Bush won the support of only 7 percent of Florida GOP primary voters in the automated SurveyUSA poll of a state where he had won two elections and narrowly lost a third. He was 30 points behind front-runner Donald Trump (also a Florida resident, part-time). He had less than half the support of Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.). In almost every demographic breakdown, he staggered into fifth place. His best demographic? Non-Cuban Hispanic voters. Donald Trump was their first choice; Jeb Bush was their third.

Miller's warnings aside, it is exceedingly rare for a home-state favorite to fall so low. You can split hairs and point out that Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) polls badly in his home state, or that former Maryland governor Martin O'Malley is polling third in the state he ran until this year.

But a candidate of Bush's stature — an establishment favorite, the race's fundraising leader — rarely bombs like this. In 2012, there were very few polls of the Massachusetts presidential primary, but former governor Mitt Romney led them by an average of 46 points. In 2008, even before he won the Iowa caucuses (i.e. in the period when then-New York Sen. Hillary Clinton was the national poll leader), then-Sen. Barack Obama always held leads in Illinois.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/11/03/jeb-bushs-poll-numbers-in-florida-are-unprecedentedly-bad/
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Eleanors38

(18,318 posts)
3. Florida's trilogy of Askew, Graham, and Chiles had run out -- about the time when
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 07:07 PM
Nov 2015

The Democratic Party in FL and at the nat'l level had given up on anyone to the left of Eisenhower to be a candidate. In fact, they seem to have written FL off in favor of some mythical technocracy, pasted together in other ststes. Consequentially, NO RECRUITMENT and a destroyed base in the legislature and local governments. Wasserman-Schultz's function is to aggressively keep it that way.

And this state went for Obama twice.

denverbill

(11,489 posts)
5. I don't understand how Democrats can't beat Jeb Bush and Rick Scott.
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 07:21 PM
Nov 2015

And Obama can win Florida.

Democrats running a former Republican probably didn't help, but geez, is that really the best they can do in Florida?

 

BlueJazz

(25,348 posts)
7. Many of us believe that Bush and Rick Skullator did not win the votes necessary to be elected.
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 10:48 PM
Nov 2015

I personally know one factor that has convinced me it was rigged.

 

smirkymonkey

(63,221 posts)
6. It's so funny, but his campaign ads make it sound like he turned the state of
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 10:44 PM
Nov 2015

Florida into Utopia. What a joke! Nothing could be further from the truth.

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