Coastal folks remember it's hurricane season until the end of November

[malaise]

Keep an eye on both the Atlantic/Caribbean and the Gulf

From NOAA
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST FRI NOV 6 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
located over the Bay of Campeche remains disorganized. The low is
forecast to merge with a cold front over the western Gulf of Mexico
late Saturday, and significant development of this system is not
expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

2. A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the eastern
Caribbean Sea across the Lesser Antilles into the Atlantic is
associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a
west-northwestward moving tropical wave. Development, if any,
during the next day or two should be slow to occur. However,
environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable
by early next week, when the system is forecast to be near
Hispaniola or the southeastern Bahamas. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rains are possible over the Lesser Antilles, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next few
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

Forecaster Brown

[smirkymonkey]

1. It was over 70 degrees here today in Boston. I am wondering what the water

temps are. If this is a trend, I think we are going to see more hurricanes further up on the Atlantic Coast.

[malaise]

2. Yep that's my major fear

Water across the globe is still very hot - one of these days we'll have December or January hurricane.

[Lochloosa]

3. Novenber 1983. Seven days before Thanksgiving.

Living in Tallahassee, FL. Cat 1 took out my power for seven days

Can't remember the name of the storm.

[malaise]

4. Yep Florida is often vulnerable late season

The storms coming across from the Pacific often affect us as well.

[malaise]

5. Now 70% chance of formation

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of organization
in association with a low pressure system located just north of
the Turks and Caicos and the southeastern Bahamas. In addition,
satellite images indicate that the circulation of the low is
becoming better defined. Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical
depression or a tropical storm is likely to form tonight or on
Monday while the low moves west-northwestward to northwestward
near or over the central and northwestern Bahamas. Locally heavy
rains and gusty winds are possible across the Turks and Caicos and
most of the Bahamas during the next day or so. An Air Force Reserve
hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system
Monday morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent