We asked 6 pollsters if Trump could win the general election. Here's what they said.
by Andrew Prokop
Forget about the primary for a few minutes. If the increasingly less unthinkable happens and Donald Trump becomes the GOP nominee, could he actually win the presidency?
The conventional wisdom has been that a Trump nomination would be a disaster for the Republican Party, to the extent that some Democrats are almost cackling with glee at the thought. "Thank God for Donald Trump," liberal radio host Bill Press told RealClearPolitics recently. "I think he's the best thing that’s ever happened to the Democratic Party this year."
But is it so certain that, if nominated, Trump would lose? Nobody thought he'd do this well in the primaries, and head-to-head polls show him competitive with Hillary Clinton. So I called up six pollsters and asked them to really consider the seemingly ridiculous: If Trump won the nomination, could he actually win the presidency?
Overall, pollsters from both parties think a Trump presidential victory may be unlikely — but not impossible. "I deal in probabilities," says Mark Mellman, CEO of the Mellman Group, a Democratic polling firm. "The probability of him winning the general election is extremely low. But is it zero? No."
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http://www.vox.com/2015/12/11/9891334/can-donald-trump-win