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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTrump does 10% better on online based polling than phone polling.
Trump may be more popular than polls say because college educated people don't admit to supporting him.
From Morning Consult:
The study finds that Trump performs about six percentage points better online than via live telephone interviewing and that his hidden advantage online is driven by adults with higher levels of education, explains the report.
Among adults with a bachelors degree or postgraduate degree, Trump performs about 10 percentage points better online than via live telephone,
Trump normally scores higher among high-school educated respondents than among college-grad respondents. But his apparently poor performance with college-educated respondents is partly driven by their reluctance to speak freely in telephone polls.
http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Morning-Consult-Donald-Trump-online-versus-live-polling-methods-study1.pdf
Xipe Totec
(43,890 posts)Wounded Bear
(58,743 posts)You knew that, didn't you?
Renew Deal
(81,883 posts)This is weighted closed invitation polling
Wounded Bear
(58,743 posts)Renew Deal
(81,883 posts)Morning Consult is saying that people aren't admitting to supporting him over the phone. It's an opposite Bradley affect.
Xipe Totec
(43,890 posts)Renew Deal
(81,883 posts)Xipe Totec
(43,890 posts)biased sample selection can get you whatever results you want to see.