General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsNevada Post-Mortem: Trump Crushes It
Is it all over, but for the endless shouting?
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/02/gop-nevada-caucus-donald-trump-crushes.html
BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)That is unlikely. If so trump hits the repug convention with the most delegates but probably not enough to win outright. He'll have to make a deal to get delegates from elsewhere. My guess is he offers rubio the VP spot. If rube is in 3rd place, he'll take the offer. It will be trump/rubio.
tgards79
(1,415 posts)Where is he going to lose? Except (maybe) Texas. He is leading in Florida and Ohio. If Rubio can't beat him in Florida, then where?
BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)A lot of repug delegates are given on a proportional basis. So, even when he wins, trump is only picking up 30-40%. Ohio and Florida are different. I think they are winner take all, so trump could pick up a little under 200 delegates if he wins them both. That would be Yuuuuge!
Still, I think trump winds up just a little short of the number needed.
tgards79
(1,415 posts)Many of the "proportional" states also have minimum 20% threshholds. As long as Kasich and Carson stay in, Cruz and/or Rubio could miss and Trump would get 2/3 of delegates.