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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTrump has achieved what was once unthinkable: Putting the House majority in play for Democrats
Trump has achieved what was once unthinkable: Putting the House majority in play for Democrats
Donald Trump has proven political strategists and pundits wrong on nearly every prediction they've made in 2016 thus far, and now we can add another given to that list: The assumption that retention of the Republican's House majority was a foregone conclusion. Democratic (and Republican) strategists entered this election cycle generally believing that dismantling the GOPs 30-seat advantage would require a years-long chipping away effort. But now, Democrats are at least entertaining the possibility of a wave election produced by a heavy backlash against Trump. And many Republicans appear to agree, reports Politico:
...
Donald Trump has proven political strategists and pundits wrong on nearly every prediction they've made in 2016 thus far, and now we can add another given to that list: The assumption that retention of the Republican's House majority was a foregone conclusion. Democratic (and Republican) strategists entered this election cycle generally believing that dismantling the GOPs 30-seat advantage would require a years-long chipping away effort. But now, Democrats are at least entertaining the possibility of a wave election produced by a heavy backlash against Trump. And many Republicans appear to agree, reports Politico:
The House GOPs leading indicators its most vulnerable members, like Reps. Bob Dold and Carlos Curbelo are already sounding the alarm against Trump and his rhetoric on women, Hispanics and other groups. The partys outside groups are preparing an intensified fundraising push to help defend the chamber. The respected Cook Political Report downgraded Republicans chances in 10 districts Friday. And though the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which has been stung by overzealous predictions in past years, wont say outright that the majority is in play, the party is clearly thinking about it.
Democrats already had reasonable odds of flipping a dozen or so House seats. But DCCC Chairman Ben Ray Luján recently started highlighting reach districts, like those of Rep. John Mica in Florida and Rep. Steve Knight in California, that broaden Democrats target list enough to take back the chamber if local candidates can take advantage of the sudden opportunity. Strategists are now turning their attention to moderate suburbs around Detroit, Minneapolis, Washington and other areas where House Democrats have struggled in recent years but Trump has already shown weakness.
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More at the Kerry Eleveld diary posted on DailyKos
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Trump has achieved what was once unthinkable: Putting the House majority in play for Democrats (Original Post)
MohRokTah
Mar 2016
OP
Wellstone ruled
(34,661 posts)1. Great thought,we might pick up
couple dozen seats and that will be a stretch.
dixiegrrrrl
(60,010 posts)2. Bless his lil stubby fingers.............n/t
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)3. A ten point loss on the Presidential ticket will do just that.
jaysunb
(11,856 posts)4. ungerrymandering the districts is the only way to get the House.
Hopefully, w/ a liberal President and SCOTUS by 2020, it should be doable.
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)5. Maybe not if Trump is at the top of the GOP ticket. eom
edhopper
(33,575 posts)6. DWS has done everything she can
for that not to happen.
She has abandoned Red districts.
"recently looking at those districts"
It should have been in place for years.
Logical
(22,457 posts)7. My God, you have 13 hides in the last 90 days! nt
Hekate
(90,674 posts)8. Might be time for M to chill a bit. I'd hate to lose him while things are so interesting!
Hekate
(90,674 posts)9. What a great outcome that would be, if it weren't for having to sweat whether the Redcap fascist...
....might actually make it into office himself.