Ignore the Polls. Trump’s Campaign Is a Hot Mess, and That’s All That Matters.

[Liberal_in_LA]

Many polls show a tightening race, although some also show Clinton taking a commanding lead in the battleground states. None of this matters. Time spent poring over polls at this point is time wasted. Polls this early are rarely predictive in general elections. They’ll be much more valuable about a week after the Democratic convention, when a much larger chunk of the electorate has heard both sides and is paying attention.

Instead, focus on a crucial fact: The Trump campaign is in disarray, displaying a chaos rarely seen in national politics (since at least 1972, when George McGovern’s presidential run became a legendary shambles after his running mate dropping out because of reports about his mental history).

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The state of the polls really don’t matter compared to the four-lane pile-up that is the Trump campaign. With his organization in such a mess, Trump has little chance of convincing those who aren’t already on board to support him. Indeed, he’s likely to lose voters over time. And he certainly won’t be able to field an effective get-out-the-vote push in competitive swing states. The chaos of the Trump campaign is the biggest story of the election, and the key indicator of where the race is headed.


https://newrepublic.com/article/135114/ignore-polls-trumps-campaign-hot-mess-thats-matters

[Rex]

1. The media gives him every chance and helps in every way they can.

Trump's campaign is total garbage.

[StraightRazor]

5. I am amazed at how with straight faces (for the most part)...

the media simply acts as if Trump is an actual serious candidate for the Presidency of the United States.

I'm astounded every time when what he says and does is reported as 'news' - this to me is far more dangerous than how the MSM spoon-fed Bush to America.

[dubyadiprecession]

2. The more train wreck trump opens his mouth, the more voters get turned off.

[Person 2713]

3. I'm not anti American but this whole country is a hot mess right now and any firecracker could blow

Last edited Sun Jul 17, 2016, 12:33 AM - Edit history (1)

I worry about trump
GOTV

[Wounded Bear]

4. Not much worried about polls...

Trump's favorables continue to float around the Repub min, 40%. Every move he makes is about solidifying/reassuring his base. I don't think he's added any new voters to his side of the ledger yet. He's basically wasted the last 6 weeks or so. The more fuckedupedness he shows, the less likely any indies will go his way.