538 now-cast updated,,,, wow

[Cryptoad]

[Moostache]

1. It becomes ever clearer that there really ARE 2 Americas...

A sane one and an insane one.

GA and AZ leaning blue????
I nearly fell out of my chair seeing THAT!

If Texas slips away from the GOP, they would truly be finished as a national party and it would be sweet to see!

[relayerbob]

6. Several polls in GA are showing a tie

I hope so, it's embarrassing to live here at times

[maxsolomon]

2. And this is ONE WEEK since the end of the Dem convention!

Unfortunately, I think the RNC may have convinced Drumpf to try it their way. Has he shot himself in the foot in the last 2 days?

[Tommy_Carcetti]

4. Well, he made reference to a non-existant video for starters.

And then sheepishly admitted that the video he did see wasn't the one he claimed he saw.

[maxsolomon]

9. well, admitting he's wrong is a first

very preznidenchul.

[Tommy_Carcetti]

10. On the other hand, he could just be attempting to gaslight us....

.....and claim we never actually heard him say he saw the video he said he saw but never saw.

[maxsolomon]

11. who you gonna believe?

me or your lyin eyes?

[mopinko]

15. i got a crisp $20 that says

he did not write that tweet, and probably wasnt even told about it until it was too late.

[MohRokTah]

23. He said he didn't throw a baby out of his rally...

after everybody in the country saw video of him throwing the baby out of his rally at least twice.

[Tommy_Carcetti]

3. South Carolina barely looks pink.

South Carolina!

[Sherman A1]

5. I saw a report over the weekend that showed HRC 1% ahead in MO

while hardly a big number, for the Democrats to be ahead at all is simply amazing. This will be an interesting campaign season.

[Brother Buzz]

13. There are whispers Utah is moving in that direction too.

Simply amazing is an understatement.

[NightWatcher]

7. Sweet Georgia Blue!!!

[ProfessorGAC]

8. While 538 Has Quite The Track Record. . .

. . .and their methodology is impressive, there were those bleating the sky was falling when, 3 or 4 weeks ago, 538 was predicting a slight edge for The Silly One.

Because the numbers shifted so dramatically, the electorate may not be settled enough to make any predictions, no matter how sound the math, all that reliable just yet.

[salin]

12. odd - just checked it - and it has already changed (81.7 to 18.3) everything seems fluid.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

[Statistical]

20. There are three different models (now, polls on election day, polls plus) n/t

[salin]

21. thks.

[lpbk2713]

14. Donald, throw in the towel.

Save a lot of your workers a lot of stress and strain.

[yardwork]

17. No, no. Keep going, Donald! You're doing great.

[salin]

22. like he gives a care about wasting peoples time, careers, or money. It's all about him.

for him it is about 'me, me. me! Me! ME!'

[Warren DeMontague]

16. Oh hell, yes.

[Donald Ian Rankin]

18. That's the now-cast, not the forecast.

Their polls-plus model is saying 75%.

[patsimp]

19. Nicer