General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsHow many of the 10 Senate seats will we hold in 2018?
IMO, We will be lucky to save 4.
The_Voice_of_Reason
(274 posts)If Democrats vote, rather than sit home we win. Problem is, we are a fractured party, are wasting precious time and resources fighting with each other over who should control the party, or get what seat at the table, and if we don't stop this and get to work on what is really important, we will lose all ten seats.
treestar
(82,383 posts)Say we are keeping all ten and gaining more and go from there.
nikibatts
(2,198 posts)Why not contact either or both and find out what help they need. They need money and they need people who are willing to run for office from local through State offices.
Big Blue Marble
(5,076 posts)If ACLU can raise 24 million dollars in one week, how much do you think we can
raise to fight for these seats and more. You will see election cycle like none you have
ever seen Do not use the past to predict the future.
CK_John
(10,005 posts)It will be 2036 before the DEM control the Senate and 2048 before there is a DEM POTUS. That is what I think.
Big Blue Marble
(5,076 posts)Are you tone deaf?
JustAnotherGen
(31,823 posts)If the Republicans impact SS, Medicare, and Public Education in a way that impacts the midwest mad moms in minivans - voting for Democratics to undo that stupidity will be a 'thing'.
athena
(4,187 posts)We lose every time because we'd rather fight among ourselves online than go out there and make calls and knock on doors during off-years.
crazycatlady
(4,492 posts)StevieM
(10,500 posts)based on nothing.
The GOP barely got a win in those states, even after the FBI rigged the election by lying to the American people and abusing their power.
Michigan and Wisconsin have extremely unpopular Republican governors who have badly damaged the GOP brand there--and Trump isn't well-liked either.
Florida was also a narrow Republican win in 2016 and Bill Nelson is not considered vulnerable.
So we are not talking about 10 seats, we are talking about 6 that we need to save, at most.
Sherrod Brown is popular in Ohio. His likely GOP opponent is an idiot who he beat in 2012. And he is known as protectionist on trade, so that covers him with some Trump voters.
There are 5 Senate seats in deep red states: Montana, North Dakota, Indiana, Missouri, and West Virginia.
We nearly won Missouri this time, and would have if Comey had not intervened. So the state is winnable. West Virginia just elected a Democratic governor. Tester has good standing on Montana. Indiana has been known to elect Democrats, and Pence's policies left his very unpopular in the state. North Dakota may be the hardest of all, although they do have a history of embracing populist Democrats like Kent Conrad and Byron Dorgan.
We also have a shot at winning a seat in Nevada. And Jeff Flake may lose his primary in Arizona. That makes the state winnable for the Dems. We would have carried it in the 2016 presidential election had it not been for the Comey intervention.
Worst case scenario the Republicans pick up 3 seats. More likely they pick up 1 or 0.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,412 posts)StevieM
(10,500 posts)If Arizona was an open seat I would say it leans Democrat. HRC had that state won, even if the margin had narrowed nationally to as little as 6 points. But the FBI intervention was too much for any candidate to handle.
I think that Flake is likely to be targeted by Trump and might lose his primary. Whoever beats him--if he loses--will be extremely vulnerable.
If we could win Nevada in this difficult election cycle--or at least a cycle that turned difficult with 11 days to go--then that is a good sign that the state is trending Democrat. I think that is good bet for a pickup, especially since the GOP incumbent, Dean Heller, isn't too popular.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,412 posts)Thanks. Good to see some optimism here.
phylny
(8,380 posts)vilnerable until Comey's "new email" revelation.
old guy
(3,283 posts)If they really damage these programs the Senate could swing. Because of gerrymandering the house will probably be out of reach. Just my thoughts.
MFM008
(19,808 posts)Things may be very different.
There may be a vigorous backlash again maggot.
We will see.....IF he's still in office.