As Soon as Republicans in Congress See Trump As a Threat to Their Re-election,

[MineralMan]

they will stand against him. At least some of them will. Nothing matters more to legislators than the next election. They need their jobs, since most are incompetent at anything else. The more we can demonstrate that allegiance to Trump is dangerous to those legislators, they will begin to push to get him the heck out of the White House.

So, keep up the pressure. Don't let up for a minute.

[nycbos]

1. The problem is that he won their districts.

And do to gerrymandering it's likely that it would occur again.

[MineralMan]

2. In some cases, that's true.

However, coattails work both ways. Right now, Trump is losing followers very quickly. Things change, even in gerrymandered districts.

Besides, we don't need to win every seat in the House. Not by a long shot. We just need to win enough seats. Right now, that's about a 24 seat gain in the House. It's very doable.

[nycbos]

3. Trump has support in the high 80s with Republicans.

[MineralMan]

4. What's your source for that?

I doubt it very much, actually.

[nycbos]

7. Saw a poll a few weeks ago.

It could be different today.

[unblock]

8. this article puts it at 87%.

http://www.cnn.com/2017/02/21/politics/donald-trump-republican-support/

Trump's 40% approval rating is 21 points below average for a president finishing his first month in office, while his 87% approval rating among Republicans is second only to that of George W. Bush among all GOP presidents elected in the last 65 years, Gallup reported Friday.

Put another way, a greater percentage of Republicans support Trump than backed Ronald Reagan after his first four weeks in the Oval Office.

[BannonsLiver]

17. They're defending 24 house seats in 2018 in districts Clinton won. This is a problem for them.

[Mariana]

18. Some of them he (and they) won by thin margins.

Every republican seat isn't safe, not by a long shot.

[unblock]

5. not at all likely unless donnie's polling below 20%.

far more likely is that they handle him as they handled shrub -- the simply avoided the topic, almost to the point of denying his existence. they'll talk about "conservative principles" and "bringing jobs to this district/state" and completely ignore donnie.

they can't risk alienating those who supported donnie.


that said, i certainly agree with keeping up the pressure.

[atreides1]

6. I respectfully disagree

What they will do between now and then is avoid their constituents, if they can't they will not answer questions, they will do the old Potomac Two Step...and will more likely then not, get re-elected!

All they have to do, is hold off on repealing the ACA and postpone their attack on Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid!

Most will get re-elected because their constituents are hard core Republicans, who would never see themselves voting for a Democrat!

[OnDoutside]

15. But in terms of getting rid of Trump, they will fear the

Trumpists that makeup section of their voter base. Hit Donnie and you hit them. That would end up splitting their vote

[Eliot Rosewater]

9. Agreed , never stop the pressure, more and more

(Having said that, my theory is GOP doesnt care, they are funded by Koch, nobody can primary them without money and there isnt any for anybody but them, but maybe not)

[Gothmog]

10. Some GOP types have made a suicide pact with trump

These idiots will go down with trump. In Texas, you will not find a GOP congresscritter who dare separate himself from trump

[MineralMan]

12. We don't have to have every Republican on our side.

We don't have to frighten every Republican. We just need to frighten some with a potential loss. Forget about the wacko right-wingers. They don't matter. We need to go after those who live in districts they might lose, for pete's sake.

I don't give a good goddamm about McConnell, for example. That old turtle is who he is. It's others we need to scare for 2018.

Look at the best cases, not the worst.

[C_U_L8R]

11. They can't afford many days like yesterday

Keep the pressure on !!! No prisoners !!!

[MineralMan]

14. Exactly. Go after them all and let the ones who

scare the easiest make the first moves.

Here's a secret: Not every Republican in Congress won with a huge margin in 2016. Not by a long shot. We need to go after the ones who are vulnerable. We can forget about the far-right districts. They won't budge. But, for example, there are two districts in Minnesota where the Republican barely won. How about those? They're my target.

[Orsino]

13. They'll do pretty much what their largest donors tell them to do.

The Trump albatross will have to start canceling out the lure of the easy money. Only then will they peek out from behind the Kochs' skirts.

[Mariana]

16. They're counting on all the attention to die down

before the 2018 elections roll around. That's a long time and they know from experience that voters generally have short memories and attention spans.

[BannonsLiver]

19. And I'm counting on them believing that

Just like I'm counting on them believing these town halls are the result of paid activists. Their hubris will be their undoing. I've seen this movie before.