How Odds Of Trump's Impeachment Have Changed

[Fantastic Anarchist]

If you think Donald Trump will make it through his first term in office without being impeached, don’t bet on it.

According to the newest numbers from bookies in the U.K., the odds of a first-term Trump impeachment have narrowed and are now approaching even on some sites.

While Las Vegas doesn’t allow betting on any events other than sports, U.K. bookies are happy to take bets about Trump’s longevity in office.

Paddy Power currently has the odds of a first-term Trump impeachment at 2/1. Ladbrokes is much more pessimistic about Trump’s prospects and currently lists the odds that Trump will “leave office via impeachment or resignation before end of first term” at even. In addition, Ladbrokes lists the odds that Trump with “serve full term” in office at 4/5.

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[yeoman6987]

1. We need to take both houses to even hope for impeachment

I can't imagine the repugs impeaching him. No other party has impeached their own. Nixon was by democratic congress. Clinton by repug congress. It would be amazing if they did but I doubt it.

[TexasProgresive]

3. Nixon was never impeached much less convicted

The Democrats were drawing up the charges, but it was Nixon's own Republicans who could see the outcome and convinced him to resign.

[Raine1967]

5. Yes -- and this time I don't know if there are any people to convince him. That said

I still believe that something SO explosive will happen that he will have no choice but to resign.

He may face jail time even without impeachment -- I think it will be that big.

This cannot sustain, it really can't.

[mythology]

7. The parties and the public were much less divided

Partisanship is higher than since Reconstruction.

[KingCharlemagne]

10. The Judiciary Committee reported out three articles of

Impeachment for consideration by the full House. Nixon resigned before the House took up those articles (after Barry Goldwater delivered the message that he no longer had the votes in the Senate to forestall conviction and removal from office).

[global1]

4. Maybe In There Plan That's How They Get A Second Term.....

They say they are the hero's because they impeached Trump (his own Party did it to him). So see - we aren't all bad. You have to vote for us again.

[Kingofalldems]

9. Absolutely false, yeoman6987. Nixon was not impeached.

Lack of facts destroys your talking point.

[unblock]

2. i still think actual impeachment is very, very unlikely.

even if we capture the house in the midterms, we certainly won't get enough to win a 2/3rd senate vote for removal.

and democrats aren't nearly as into the "let's impeach just for the spectacle of it" as republicans are. so we might not do it even if we do have a majority in the house.


if republicans in congress want donnie out, they'll talk him into resigning somehow. they really, really, really don't want to go through an impeachment process against someone in the same party that their own constituents voted for.

[MFM008]

6. Don't be a buzzkill

We can dream.
And he may do something so shocking that GOP will
Be forced to act.

[unblock]

8. We can still dream -- I'm just saying forced resignation is more likely

[Softail1]

11. stop it with the wishful thinking!

wishful thinking is ok, if it has a chance of becoming reality..these false hopes get us nowhere...EVEN if he were impeached by the house, he would have to be convicted in the senate...aint-gonna-happen. And remember, as I understand it...it has to be for crimes he committed while in office...not before. Our efforts are better spent with donations and organizing, then pie in the sky dreams,(remember the recount?)....