2018 US Senate Race-Democrats guide to getting in the majority.
AL Special (Strange-R) A top tier Democratic nominee (Bright-D,Bedford-D,or Folsom-D),A divisive Republican nominee, and Democrats tying the Republican nominee with disgraced former Republican Governor Bentley.
AZ (Flake-R) Flake-R is facing a strong primary challenge from tea party candidate Ward-R, If Flake-R is the Republican nominee, A top tier Democratic nominee (Kelly-D or Sinema-D) will be needed to unseat Flake. If Ward-R is the Republican nominee, Whoever is the Democratic nominee is favored to win.
CA (Feinstein-D)Feinstein-D has a 50 50 percent chance of coming in 1st or 2nd place during the open primary. If Feinstein's opponent in the November General Election is a Democrat, Feinstein loses, If Feinstein's opponent in the November General Election is a Republican, Feinstein wins. Whoever is the Democratic nominee is favored to win.
CT (Murphy-D)
DE (Carper-D) If Carper-D does not seek re-election, Whoever is the Democratic nominee is favored to win.
FL (Nelson-D) Nelson-D is favored to defeat whoever is the Republican nominee even if it's Bondi-R.
HI (Hirono-D)
IN (Donnelly-D) Donnelly-D needs a polarizing Republican challenger to get re-elected.
ME (King-I/D) ME Democratic party need to prevent any likely top tier Democratic candidate to run and endorse King-I.
MD (Cardin-D)If Cardin-D does not seek re-election, Whoever is the Democratic nominee is favored to win.
MA (Warren-D)
MI (Stabenow-D)
MN (Klobuchar-D)
MS (Wicker-R) Seat is likely to remain in the Republican column.
MO (McCaskill-D) McCaskill-D needs a polarizing Republican challenger to get re-elected.
MT (Tester-D) Tester-D needs a polarizing Republican challenger to get re-elected.
NE (Fischer-R)Seat is likely to remain in the Republican column.
NV (Heller-R)A top tier Democratic nominee (Miller,Marshall or Titus) will be needed to unseat Heller.
NJ (Menendez-D)Democratic nominee has to be anyone but Menendez.
NM (Heinrich-D)
NY (Gillibrand-D)
ND (Heitkamp-D)Heitkamp-D needs a polarizing Republican challenger to get re-elected.
OH (Brown-D) Brown-D is favored to defeat Mandel-R.
PA (Casey-D)
RI (Whitehouse-D)
TN (Corker-R)Seat is likely to remain in the Republican column.
TX (Cruz-R) A Conservative Third Party nominee is needed for the Democratic nominee (O'Rourke-D or Castro-D) to win.
UT (Hatch-R) A top tier Democratic nominee (Matheson-D) and a Conservative Third Party nominee is needed for Democrats to stand a chance at winning.
VT(Sanders-I/D)
VA (Kaine-D) Worse case scenario for Kaine is Warner's 2014 victory. Best case scenario for Kaine is Warner's 2008 victory.
WA (Cantwell-D)
WV (Manchin-D)Manchin-D needs a polarizing Republican challenger to get re-elected.
WI (Baldwin-D)Baldwin-D is favored to defeat whoever is the Republican nominee even if it's Walker-R.
WY (Barrasso-R)Seat is likely to remain in the Republican column.
Democrats could pick up between 2 to 5 seats assuming they hold onto vulnerable seats in IN,MO,MT,ND,OH,WV and WI.