Chump won't make it thru his first term --- OddsChecker website.

[lpbk2713]

The odds are against him lasting four years 11 to 5.

Link: https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/donald-trump-specials/trump-to-leave-before-end-of-1st-term

[Wellstone ruled]

1. Pretty darn good odds.

After today's Trumpy melt downs. Once McConnell get his prize AHCA bill to his desk,Trump is gone.

[Nevernose]

2. Leaving aside politics

He's old, he's fat, he literally believes exercise is bad for him, and is in an incredibly stressful job. I'm shocked he's made it this long.

[RKP5637]

4. ..... but he told us he's the healthiest specimen around, so did his dr. He's the healthiest male

specimen on planet earth. He's going to start falling apart, and quickly when it starts given his age and shape.

[Nevernose]

12. That doc looks like he'd prescribe cocaine

And then, at his medical license revocation hearing, would use the legal defense of: "It was Saturday night. Everybody knows it's cool if it's Saturday night."

[RKP5637]

13. Scary looking dr. n/t

[RKP5637]

3. I think eventually he'll get so conflicted he'll crack! ... if he's not kicked out before then. n/t

[malaise]

5. Eventually?

[RKP5637]

7. Well, just a bit further ...

[malaise]

8. We've long past eventually

[RKP5637]

9. White coats on standby!

[malaise]

10. Better late than never

[dembotoz]

6. unless his health goes the gop will keep him there...they love the power

[BlueStater]

11. If he isn't impeached, natural causes will remove him.

I can only hope, at least. Keep stuffing your face full of KFC and Diet Coke please.

[Awsi Dooger]

14. That's not the way I'm reading it

You have to lay a price on Trump completing his first term. It is 5/6 or -120 in American pricing. The Yes that he will leave before his first term ends is 21/20 or +1.05. That means bet 100 to win 105.

I'm quoting Betfair which appears to be the only firm offering that prop. Perhaps some other firm had it earlier but took it down.

Trump is the favorite for 2020 at 2/1. But if you go by which party will prevail then Democrats are a slight favorite. Many sites are offering that prop.

I was shocked at the header and the quoted odds. Betting sites and bettors don't overreact to short term.