General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAccording to a PPP poll for the 2020 US Senate Races in CO,IA,and NC
CO
Gardner-R polls at 39 percent
Democratic challenger polls at 53 percent.
Democratic nominee could either be Hickenlooper or one of the losing 2018 Democratic candidates for Governor.
IA
Ernst-R polls at 48 percent
Democratic challenger polls at 41 percent.
If Democratic nominee is Vilsack(Tom or Christie)-The race becomes a tossup.
NC
Tillis-R polls at 44 percent
Democratic challenger polls at 48 percent
If the Democratic nominee is Josh Stein, Tillis-R loses.
2020 will be a correction for any seat Democrats lose in 2018.
In 2018- Democrats will pick up AZ-(Flake-R is likely to lose in the Republican primary) and NV (Heller-R has a top tier Democratic challenger and represents an anti Trump State) 50R 48D 2I/D
Democrats could also lose US Senate seats in strong Trump states IN,MO,MT,ND,and WV. 55R 43D 2I/D
2020-No Democratic held US Senate seat is likely to go Republican. MI (Peters-D),MN (Franken-D),NH(Shaheen-D),and VA (Warner-D) will win re-election.
Democrats will pick up
CO -Hickenlooper-D,Johnston-D,Kennedy-D,Perlmutter-D or Polis-D 54R 44D 2I/D
GA-Abrams-D,Evans-D,or Ossoff-D 53R 45D 2I/D
IA-Culver-D or Vilsack-D 52R 46D 2I/D
ME-Michaud-D or Pingree-D (Collins-R gets a primary challenge from LePage-R) 51R 47D 2I/D
NC-Ross-D or Stein-D 50R 48D 2I/D
If Trump-R loses re-election, Democrats regain control of the US Senate in 2020.
Democrats could pick up AK in 2020 if Independent Governor Bill Walker runs and caucuses with the Democrats or Ethan Berkowitz-D.
mnhtnbb
(31,384 posts)PLEASE!!!!
nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)Roy Cooper/Governor going to seek re-election in 2020 same time the 2020 US Senate Race.
Josh Stein/Attorney General could seek re-election or run for the US Senate in 2020 against Tillis-R
Elaine Marshall/Secretary of State could retire from politics.
Beth Wood/Auditor could seek re-election or run for the US Senate in 2020 against Tillis-R
Janet Cowell/former State Treasurer (decided not to run for re-election in 2016) could make a comeback and run for the US Senate in 2020 against Tillis. DSCC should recruit Cowell.
a kennedy
(29,655 posts)nkpolitics1212
(8,617 posts)Baldwin faced and defeated Tommy Thompson in the 2012 WI US Senate Race.
Potential Republican candidates to challenge Baldwin in 2018 are
Scott Fitzgerald-Majority Leader of WI State Senate,Mike Gallagher-US Rep from WI-8 CD is going to seek re-election rather than run for the US Senate-Gallagher is young(33 years old) and has a long future ahead,and Glenn Grothman-US Rep from WI-6 CD.
WI-7CD US Rep Sean Duffy has announced he will seek re-election rather than run for the US Senate.
Baldwin is not that vulnerable.