2018 US Senate Election-Likely Democratic Nominee

[nkpolitics1212]

AZ(Kelly-D)Democratic Favored 24D
CA (Feinstein-D)Democratic Favored 25D
CT (Murphy-D)Democratic Favored 26D
DE (Carper-D)Democratic Favored 27D (if Carper-D retires-Blunt Rochester-D)
FL (Nelson-D)Democratic Favored 28D
HI (Hirono-D)Democratic Favored 29D
IN(Donnelly-D)Democratic Favored 30D
ME (King-I/D)Democratic Favored 31D
MD (Cardin-D)Democratic Favored 32D (if Cardin-D retires-Sarbanes-D)
MA (Warren-D)Democratic Favored 33D
MI(Stabenow-D)Democratic Favored 34D
MN (Klobuchar-D)Democratic Favored 35D
MS (Bohren-D)Republican Favored 45R
MO (McCaskill-D)Democratic Favored 36D
MT (Tester-D)Democratic Favored 37D
NE (???-D)Republican Favored 46R
NV (Rosen-D)Democratic Favored 38D
NJ (Pallone-D)Democratic Favored 39D
NM (Heinrich-D)Democratic Favored 40D
NY (Gillibrand-D)Democratic Favored 41D
ND (Heitkamp-D)Democratic Favored 42D
OH (Brown-D)Democratic Favored 43D
PA (Casey-D)Democratic Favored 44D
RI (Whitehouse-D)Democratic Favored 45D
TN (Berke-D)Republican Favored 47R
TX (O'Rourke-D)Tossup(former Trump spokesperson Pierson-R could challenge Cruz-R in primary or run as an Independent)
UT (Wilson-D)Tossup (Hatch-R is highly unpopular,McMullin-I/R runs as an Independent)
VT (Sanders-I/D)Democratic Favored 46D
VA (Kaine-D)Democratic Favored 47D
WA (Cantwell-D)Democratic Favored 48D
WV (Manchin-D)Democratic Favored 49D
WI (Baldwin-D)Democratic Favored 50D
WY (???-D)Republican Favored 48R
All of the Trump State Democratic incumbents US Senators up for re-election in 2018 win re-election due to the Anti Trump Republican wave and lack of top tier Republican challengers.

[hedda_foil]

1. Does anyone actually respond to your horse picking monologues?

[murielm99]

2. I think these are personal opinions.

I don't have a problem with that.

[hedda_foil]

3. I agree they're opinions.

[trueblue2007]

5. not really. lol lol lol

[BzaDem]

6. I think this forecast is too optimistic, but I am really glad these types of posts exist.

I have learned a lot from reading these types of posts that delve into the details of local races I am not following regularly.

[mvd]

4. I like this forecast!

Yes I think and hope that the anti-Trump wave finally reaches the red states. I am not worried about Casey in PA right now.

[stevenleser]

7. I had to look up your Heitkamp assertion because her race was one I was afraid we might lose. But...

... she is one of the most popular senators in the country in her state. https://ndxplains.com/2017/04/12/u-s-senator-heitkamp-earns-60-approval-north-dakotans-according-poll/

She probably wins easily.

[nkpolitics1212]

8. Heitkamp faces a tight race is Cramer runs but Heitkamp's margin of victory over Cramer in 2018

will be greater than her margin of victory over Berg in 2012.