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applegrove

(118,882 posts)
Thu Oct 19, 2017, 08:08 PM Oct 2017

The data is in - Voter Suppression is THE reason Trump won the election.

By Idontknowwhy at the Daily Kos

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/10/19/1708190/-The-data-is-in-Voter-Suppression-is-THE-reason-Trump-won-the-election

"SNIP.........


On election night, Anthony was shocked to see Trump carry Wisconsin by nearly 23,000 votes. The state, which ranked second in the nation in voter participation in 2008 and 2012, saw its lowest turnout since 2000. More than half the state’s decline in turnout occurred in Milwaukee, which Clinton carried by a 77-18 margin, but where almost 41,000 fewer people voted in 2016 than in 2012. Turnout fell only slightly in white middle-class areas of the city but plunged in black ones. In Anthony’s old district, where aging houses on quiet tree-lined streets are interspersed with boarded-up buildings and vacant lots, turnout dropped by 23 percent from 2012. This is where Clinton lost the state and, with it, the larger narrative about the election.
Snip

After the election, registered voters in Milwaukee County and Madison’s Dane County were surveyed about why they didn’t cast a ballot. Eleven percent cited the voter ID law and said they didn’t have an acceptable ID; of those, more than half said the law was the “main reason” they didn’t vote. According to the study’s author, University of Wisconsin-Madison political scientist Kenneth Mayer, that finding implies that between 12,000 and 23,000 registered voters in Madison and Milwaukee—and as many as 45,000 statewide—were deterred from voting by the ID law. “We have hard evidence there were tens of thousands of people who were unable to vote because of the voter ID law,” he says.
Snip

A post-election study by Priorities USA, a Democratic super-PAC that supported Clinton, found that in 2016, turnout decreased by 1.7 percent in the three states that adopted stricter voter ID laws but increased by 1.3 percent in states where ID laws did not change. Wisconsin’s turnout dropped 3.3 percent. If Wisconsin had seen the same turnout increase as states whose laws stayed the same, “we estimate that over 200,000 more voters would have voted in Wisconsin in 2016,” the study said. These “lost voters”—those who voted in 2012 and 2014 but not 2016—”skewed more African American and more Democrat” than the overall voting population. Some academics criticized the study’s methodology, but its conclusions were consistent with a report from the Government Accountability Office, which found that strict voter ID laws in Kansas and Tennessee had decreased turnout by roughly 2 to 3 percent, with the largest drops among black, young, and new voters.
Snip

In Wisconsin, the intent of those who pushed for the ID law was clear. On the night of Wisconsin’s 2016 primary, GOP Rep. Glenn Grothman, a backer of the law when he was in the state Senate, predicted that a Republican would carry the state in November, even though Wisconsin had gone for Barack Obama by 7 points in 2012. “I think Hillary Clinton is about the weakest candidate the Democrats have ever put up,” he told a local TV news reporter, “and now we have photo ID, and I think photo ID is going to make a little bit of a difference as well.”

...........SNIP"

6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The data is in - Voter Suppression is THE reason Trump won the election. (Original Post) applegrove Oct 2017 OP
Message auto-removed Name removed Oct 2017 #1
Forcing people to get new IDs is also psychological warfare. Who knows how many Obama voters applegrove Oct 2017 #2
Uh, yeahhhhhh......... alittlelark Oct 2017 #3
Rachel mentioned this tonight and will ask Eric Holder about it BigmanPigman Oct 2017 #4
YES !!! Every state HRC projected to win but lost is a Republican voter suppression state !!! uponit7771 Oct 2017 #5
Excuses GaryCnf Oct 2017 #6

Response to applegrove (Original post)

applegrove

(118,882 posts)
2. Forcing people to get new IDs is also psychological warfare. Who knows how many Obama voters
Thu Oct 19, 2017, 08:40 PM
Oct 2017

were depressed by having to get new ID. And just decided not to vote. Young people's attention spans and poor people faced a barrier to voting. It worked for the GOP as it was meant to.

BigmanPigman

(51,650 posts)
4. Rachel mentioned this tonight and will ask Eric Holder about it
Thu Oct 19, 2017, 10:03 PM
Oct 2017

on her Monday night show. That should be good.

 

GaryCnf

(1,399 posts)
6. Excuses
Thu Oct 19, 2017, 10:19 PM
Oct 2017

I appreciate a good talking point as much as anyone, but this is, at best, wishful thinking and, at worst, an excuse not to address our failure to inspire black voters. The fact is that the decline in the number of voters in Milwaukee with its large black population is very similar to the decline in urban areas in states which did not enact new voter ID laws for the 2016 election.

As I explained in another OP, President Obama had over 70K more votes in Wayne County (Detroit) Michigan in 2012 that Secretary Clinton had in 2016 and its voter ID law had been in effect since 2006. In another example, inspired by the OP, Tennessee adopted its voter ID law prior to the 2012 election and in 2012, when the law would have its greatest impact, Obama had 30K more votes in Shelby County (Memphis) Tennessee than Secretary Clinton had in 2016.

We are paying the price for focusing our campaigns and our governing on appeasing white folks in the suburbs for almost a quarter century and they are stabbing us in the back. We can face up to it, fix it, and win; or we can act like everything is great with black Democrats, blame poor turnout on everyone else, stay the path, and lose.

For some of us winning is a matter of life or death. I am voting for fixing it.

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