Poll: Clinton Opens 14-Point Nationwide Lead Among Likely Democrats

[riversedge]

Source: TPMemo







AP Photo / Patrick Semansky



ByConor DinanPublishedMarch 3, 2016, 1:24 PM EST

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has widened her lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) to 14 percentage points, according to an Ipsos/Reuters national poll released Thursday.

The poll showed support for Clinton at 54 percent, while Sanders stood at 40 percent. This is a wider lead for Clinton than in the Ipsos/Reuters poll conducted in mid-February, which showed her leading Sanders 53 percent to 42 percent. This result comes in the wake of a series of major victories for Clinton in state primaries.

TPM’s PollTracker Average shows Clinton at 53.8 percent and Sanders at 36.4 percent.

The Ipsos/Reuters poll was carried out from Feb. 27-March 2. The poll surveyed 619 likely Democratic voters online with a margin of error of 4.3 percentage points.

This post has been updated.

Read more: http://talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/ipsos-reuters-march-clinton-widens-lead-slightly?utm_content=buffered0af&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

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Graph at link.

[HillareeeHillaraah]

1. Momentum!

Boo yah!

[riversedge]

2. This is all part of the mojo. yup

[leftynyc]

3. LOVE that graphic!!

Go Hillary!!!

[riversedge]

4. So far 4M people have voted for @HillaryClinton. Nearly 1.5M more than for @BernieSanders. That's a

Seth Bringman ‏@sethbringman 4m4 minutes ago

So far 4M people have voted for @HillaryClinton. Nearly 1.5M more than for @BernieSanders. That's a lot of establishment! #ImWithHer

[Tarheel_Dem]

5. Let's hope the expansion continues through the 15th, when NC finally gets to weigh in.

[Gamecock Lefty]

6. Since Nevada - Wind at our Sails!!!

I hope you have all the Bernie supporters on ignore because they’ll be here in no time telling us why this poll is invalid unless it has Grandpa Bernie in the lead!!!

[Wibly]

10. Silly

Less than 620 people polled, in an online poll, and you think it should be taken seriously!
Please, wash the Hillary from your blinders.

[Plucketeer]

28. Tick Tock!

Enjoy your last few moments of fantasy.

[leftynyc]

30. LOL

I will enjoy saying the words Madam President very much - thanks. Now go back to fantasyland where Bernie is winning all the delegates and ahead 30 points in the polls.

[TM99]

7. The key words are likely Democratic voters.

I am not concerned.

[bunnies]

17. Only Dems vote in the GE, silly!

She dont need no stinkin' indies! 50% of 30% puts her right where she needs to be to win!

[Wibly]

8. Weak Poll

Only 619 respondents, and online!
Get back when you have real poll, with a decent size, that wasn't done online. Then there will be something to report.

[NurseJackie]

11. You have a point...Bernie usually does much better in online polls. This means that ...

... Hillary is CRUSHING IT and the actual numbers are probably even BETTER than shown here.

Go, Hillary! We love you!

[Wibly]

14. Based on what?

What is your "problably" based on?
It certainly is not any sort of polling information or fact.
Must be blind partisan wishful thinking.
Right now, these are the facts. Clinton has 595 delegates, Sanders 405, and there are thousands yet to be counted. What's more, most of the states that have already had their primaries were expected to be wins for Clinton, and are in the deep south, where she is expected to do well. The real proof will be in the weeks to come.
I'm not saying Clinton won't win, but I am definitely saying this poll is not reliable, not based on a solid polling sample, and does not accurately reflect the current sympathies of Democratic voters.

[NurseJackie]

9. Fantastic news!

Go, Hillary! We love you!

[Sunlei]

12. I hope Mrs. Clinton will reach out more to the 40% of Ds who selected Sanders in primary

And sit down with Bernie work together on her policies. She will need his support & endorsement to win strongly against the republicans. Now is the time for them both to state the 2nd place in primary will be VP.

[Android3.14]

13. The best polling money can buy.

[blackspade]

15. Sorry, online polling. Doesn't count.

Right? Or are online polls good now that Clinton is favored?

[getagrip_already]

16. remember...

(While I'm 100% behind hillary.....)

National Polls are MEANINGLESS. They are a tool of the media. They are currency to them.

They don't mean anything in a primary race.

Now the state by state polls that show the lions share of upcoming delegates will get pledged to hillary, now those do mean something.

[phazed0]

18. A dubious poll indeed

Ipsos, sponsored by Reuters.

Still disconcerting to watch people vote against their own interests.

[Plucketeer]

34. Yup!

YAY Establishment! YAY Wall Street! YAY Free Trade! YAY Health Insurance profiteers! All doin' their best for lil ol' me!

[RobertEarl]

48. Welcome to DU

Lay low for your first 100 posts. Ok? Trust me. They already have their eye on you as a Berner.

[phazed0]

49. Thanks, figured they would.. hopefully I can get to a 100 w/o Tombstoning n/t

[PatrynXX]

19. margin of error 4 points

probably no change.

[Worldly Traveler]

20. "Likely Voters"

Interesting that. I believe that means everyone polled voted in 2012. And in 2014?

[PoliticalMalcontent]

21. How many democrats are paying attention in a manner that is more than just superficial though?

This election cycle has been enough to teach me not to just vote a Straight Democratic ticket anymore. I've got to do my research before hand.

Life lessons.

[Cavallo]

23. I've voted Democrat since my first vote for Bill Clinton the first time. I am questioning that I

have become too liberal to stay a Democrat. I can not be with a party that has no desire to end the plutocracy. Heck they appear to be 1000% supporting it.

I can't be a green - they are too inflexible for me. I don't know what I am.... an Occupier? That's the movement I believe in. Ending the 1% control of us and standing for everything that is good. I'm against the DP. I'm pro immigrants. I'm for medicare for all. I guess I made a mistake in thinking other Dems were following a liberal belief system too. What I've discovered on this site is about 1/2 are like I am, and then a whole lot are pro killing anyone, and massively pro ogliarchy - while not one of them tells you why. I don't understand it.

I'm happy to leave. Someone please point me to a liberal chat site? I used to be on common dreams - and I was there for years, but then the owners of the site stated taking money from a pro Israel group and we could really tell. During the bombings a few years back we weren't allowed to speak against Israels atrocities. What is this site? Bought out directly by the DNC who is bought out by the ogliarchs? I don't understand at all what is going on here. I'm asking because I don't know and I will happily leave if you guys can point me on my way to a liberal democratic site. If it supports the plutocracy through Hillary it won't be up to my standards as a liberal democratic site.

[jhart3333]

29. Try jackpineradicals.org

They are new and are asking for money to keep the site up. Let's hope it keeps going. This place is breaking my heart. We are up for some changes here in the near future that might be a deal breaker for me. We'll see.

[Cavallo]

40. Nope. I can't join the site.

Last edited Thu Mar 3, 2016, 07:27 PM - Edit history (1)

I went there and nearly got through registration then is said "We also insist that You must support Senator Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary. In other words, you must be Feeling The Bern!! "

I am absolutely a Bernie Supporter and donated to his campaign 3 times. But I won't be joining a site that forces everyone to vote their way or you get banned. That is why I'm looking for an alternative to go to instead of DU.

[PoliticalMalcontent]

31. I think this place can use all of the liberal voices it can get.

I understand your frustration though.

This place needs more open minds.

[Cavallo]

43. Thank you. I don't know this place well enough and I may be wrong

but I'm getting a strong suspicion I have actually walked into the DNC.

I've seen Hillary supporters here assure each other that they just have to wait a little longer then they will to ban anyone speaking against the DNC it or it's candidate Hillary as soon as (if) she is their nomination. They said it's against the board rules to not support the DNC and apparently propose to tell people who they have to vote for to be on this site.

I saw a tag from a user on this site that said "To find out who rules over you simply find out who you are not allowed to critize. - Voltair"

I'll stick with liberal sites against the plutocracy - and not join the DNC specifically(right down to not being allowed to criticism and having to vote their way no matter what,) thanks.

[leftynyc]

33. Oy vey

How much more of the "if everyone just knew as much as I did they would all agree with me" bullshit are we going to have to put up with?

[Plucketeer]

35. Good one!

You made your point.

[Cavallo]

22. Very sad for America. I mean unless you're cheering for the 1% to continue the plutacracy

this is terrible news. I just can't cheer for the TPP and everything else this means.

I guess it's because I'm a LIBERAL earth conscious democrat.

[Gamecock Lefty]

24. Here's the deal . . .

Bernie supporters go to rallies; we Hillary supporters go to the polls!!!

Turns out we are more loyal to Hillary than THEY are to Bernie.

[phazed0]

37. 1984

Whereas you think you owe loyalty to the politicians, it is the politicians that owe loyalty to us.

[SunSeeker]

26. K & R

[mcar]

27. K&R

[elljay]

32. Meaningless statistic

If we lived in a truly representative democracy, this would be of interest. However, since we have this semi-democratic system of selecting party candidates on a state-by-state basis, and then determining the national winner based on the Electoral College, this statistic has no meaning. A statistic that has more impact would be the polls in each remaining state.

[Trust Buster]

36. Can't wait until we get to March 15th.

[demwing]

38. Your link says 7 points, not 14

Loose with the facts?

[riversedge]

47. No. I am not lose with the facts--- See this from GD-P thread--same article with same

heading. Beside --If you read the article--you would have notice the correction before accusing me of being lose with facts.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511405790

[angrychair]

39. Ok

Sanders has over-performed in every primary and caucus so far. In polling average leading up to the MA primary HRC was ahead, she won by 1.4% and pulled less votes than any contested primary in 20 years.
In states Sanders has won he has either broken or come close to primary records by a winning candidate in a contested primary or caucus.
Outside of VA, he has won every state you would need to win in a GE with a mix of the type of voter demographics you have to have to win in GE, playing strongerly with voters 30 or younger and Independents in those states and doing well with Hispanics in key states like CO.
That is how you win national elections, without it you will lose those key states and lose the GE.

[Bassomar]

41. I think Independents are more important, but that is just me n/t

[jtuck004]

42. That's GREAT news for her campaign, and they should be commended for their hard work!!

If she continues to run against Democrats she has this in the bag.

[DavidDvorkin]

45. Not any longer.

[onehandle]

46. Welcome to the General Election. nt

[calguy]

50. ya but...... Bernie enjoys a HUGE edge

with younger voters who don't show up at the polls.

[itsrobert]

51. they are feeling the SunBern at the beach

spending their parent's money.

[Agnosticsherbet]

52. People notice when you win.

Congratulations Secretary of State Clinton.

[lunamagica]

53. K&R. YEEESSSS!