Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:08 PM
GulfCoast66 (11,949 posts)
Fox News Poll: Clinton leads Trump by 10 points
Source: Fox News
After the conventions, the Clinton-Kaine ticket leads the Trump-Pence ticket by 10 points (49-39 percent) in the race for the White House. Clinton’s advantage is outside the poll’s margin of error. A month ago, Clinton was up by six points (44-38 percent, June 26-28). Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/08/03/fox-news-poll-clinton-leads-trump-by-10-points-both-seen-as-flawed.html Clinton 49 Trump 39 Panic approaches. Sorry to post to Fox but they have the first post convention polls
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31 replies, 4365 views
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Author | Time | Post |
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GulfCoast66 | Aug 2016 | OP |
Cryptoad | Aug 2016 | #1 | |
Eleanors38 | Aug 2016 | #2 | |
Cryptoad | Aug 2016 | #5 | |
Dopers_Greed | Aug 2016 | #3 | |
rjsquirrel | Aug 2016 | #26 | |
Tarheel_Dem | Aug 2016 | #4 | |
7962 | Aug 2016 | #13 | |
Tarheel_Dem | Aug 2016 | #16 | |
GulfCoast66 | Aug 2016 | #18 | |
Tarheel_Dem | Aug 2016 | #20 | |
7962 | Aug 2016 | #23 | |
Kingofalldems | Aug 2016 | #6 | |
LonePirate | Aug 2016 | #10 | |
Chemisse | Aug 2016 | #7 | |
Buckeye_Democrat | Aug 2016 | #8 | |
truthisfreedom | Aug 2016 | #9 | |
Buckeye_Democrat | Aug 2016 | #11 | |
GulfCoast66 | Aug 2016 | #19 | |
triron | Aug 2016 | #15 | |
Buckeye_Democrat | Aug 2016 | #17 | |
Buckeye_Democrat | Aug 2016 | #24 | |
geek tragedy | Aug 2016 | #28 | |
left-of-center2012 | Aug 2016 | #12 | |
7962 | Aug 2016 | #14 | |
left-of-center2012 | Aug 2016 | #21 | |
7962 | Aug 2016 | #22 | |
Amimnoch | Aug 2016 | #25 | |
Lebam in LA | Aug 2016 | #27 | |
adigal | Aug 2016 | #29 | |
MFM008 | Aug 2016 | #30 | |
bucolic_frolic | Aug 2016 | #31 |
Response to GulfCoast66 (Original post)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:15 PM
Cryptoad (8,254 posts)
1. Keep running that mouth, Big Boy!
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Response to Cryptoad (Reply #1)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:17 PM
Eleanors38 (18,318 posts)
2. Is that where it's comin' out?
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Response to Eleanors38 (Reply #2)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:23 PM
Cryptoad (8,254 posts)
5. u r right,,,I stand corrected
Ass Holes are ass holes all over!
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Response to GulfCoast66 (Original post)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:19 PM
Dopers_Greed (2,629 posts)
3. Fox News...
So you know it must really be closer to 54-34
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Response to Dopers_Greed (Reply #3)
rjsquirrel This message was self-deleted by its author.
Response to GulfCoast66 (Original post)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:21 PM
Tarheel_Dem (31,122 posts)
4. Will "The Donald" accuse Fox of shilling for Hillary? He's already disparaging the polls that he....
used to boast about.
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Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #4)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 06:01 PM
7962 (11,841 posts)
13. Of course he will
Response to 7962 (Reply #13)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 06:23 PM
Tarheel_Dem (31,122 posts)
16. He is the laying the groundwork for some nastiness in Nov. He's questioning any poll that doesn't..
show him with a lead, and suggesting that if he doesn't win, that it will be because the system is rigged. That can't bode well if he loses. Some of his more rabid supporters have heard his dogwhistles, and might just act out.
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Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #16)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 06:25 PM
GulfCoast66 (11,949 posts)
18. Good thing the President
Is making room in prison by releasing non violent offenders.
Anyone using violence when they lose an election should be tried for sedition. |
Response to GulfCoast66 (Reply #18)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 06:51 PM
7962 (11,841 posts)
23. Damn straight nt
Response to GulfCoast66 (Original post)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:27 PM
Kingofalldems (36,770 posts)
6. But but the Olympics will bring Hillary down because
everyone will be focused there and Trump will come back and......
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Response to Kingofalldems (Reply #6)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:51 PM
LonePirate (12,778 posts)
10. Actually, Olympics fever might make some people forget about Trump.
If he miraculously controls himself, some might forget the Trump which existed before the Olympics.
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Response to GulfCoast66 (Original post)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:36 PM
Chemisse (30,514 posts)
7. The predictions on this page are better every time I look at them!
Response to GulfCoast66 (Original post)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:36 PM
Buckeye_Democrat (14,518 posts)
8. Look at the evangelicals!
Trump is the choice among whites by 10 points (49-39 percent), men by 5 (45-40 percent), white evangelical Christians by 50 (69-19 percent), and whites without a college degree by 16 (52-36 percent).
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Response to Buckeye_Democrat (Reply #8)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:41 PM
truthisfreedom (22,807 posts)
9. I wanna see it broken down by age and IQ.
Seriously.
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Response to truthisfreedom (Reply #9)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:53 PM
Buckeye_Democrat (14,518 posts)
11. I would too!
If you take the white evangelicals out, it looks like the remaining whites would slightly favor Clinton.
The percentage of evangelicals is supposedly around 35%, so I did a rough estimate this way: 0.35 * (69/88) + 0.65 * X = 49/88 and solved for X. That gives a very rough estimate of 45% to 43% in favor of Clinton among white non-evangelicals. That still bothers me! |
Response to Buckeye_Democrat (Reply #11)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 06:30 PM
GulfCoast66 (11,949 posts)
19. Just out of memory
But I think Mittens did 10 points better than this with whites and still lost. That is why the republicans all said after '12 that they had to do better with minorities and were briefly working toward immigration reform.
Then Cruz and the tea party nuts bought that to a halt. And now their strategy depends doing even better with whites than Romney did. Which is not going to happen. And whites are like 2% less of he population. That is why I have always been cautiously optimistic. If the Dems do a decent job of getting out the vote it is over. If Hillary wins 70% of all other races it is over. And she will do better than that. |
Response to Buckeye_Democrat (Reply #8)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 06:18 PM
triron (20,899 posts)
15. question about demographics
Not sure I believe the numbers for "whites". What percentage of voters are white? Anyone have info on that? Also cross tabs would be more informative if there were numbers or percentages of the actual polled population by race breakdown. How does Trump win whites by 10 if Clinton is overall 10 ahead??
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Response to triron (Reply #15)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 06:24 PM
Buckeye_Democrat (14,518 posts)
17. Good point!
Maybe a significant number didn't identify their race?
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Response to triron (Reply #15)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 06:57 PM
Buckeye_Democrat (14,518 posts)
24. I wonder
... if the pollsters asked people if they wanted to remain on the phone to answer questions about their gender, race, etc., and some respondents told them no?
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Response to Buckeye_Democrat (Reply #8)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 08:57 PM
geek tragedy (68,868 posts)
28. White evangelicals are largely racist assholes.
Preserving white supremacist is the foundational purpose of the political evangelical movement.
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Response to GulfCoast66 (Original post)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 05:55 PM
left-of-center2012 (34,195 posts)
12. How will Fox News play this?
"The system is rigged!"
"Oh, wait. It's our poll?" |
Response to left-of-center2012 (Reply #12)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 06:04 PM
7962 (11,841 posts)
14. On the office TV today for 4 hours, they mentioned it every news cycle,
so they're not running from it. Hell, if they didnt want to they didnt HAVE to even report it!!
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Response to 7962 (Reply #14)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 06:49 PM
left-of-center2012 (34,195 posts)
21. Is Fox trying to stop the monster they helped create? n/t
Response to left-of-center2012 (Reply #21)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 06:50 PM
7962 (11,841 posts)
22. If you ask Trump, they've BEEN out to get him!
I still say he never thought he'd get this far and now he doesnt know how to get out of it
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Response to GulfCoast66 (Original post)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 08:05 PM
Amimnoch (4,558 posts)
25. Wow. First time that I can remember that I've intentionally
Clicked a link to Fox news.
D.e.l.i.c.i.o.u.s. |
Response to GulfCoast66 (Original post)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 08:50 PM
Lebam in LA (1,344 posts)
27. The comments are pretty amazing
Trump supporters are as delusional as he is. Pretty scary bunch actually
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Response to GulfCoast66 (Original post)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 09:09 PM
adigal (7,581 posts)
29. Heads must be exploding over on the Ailes Channel
This makes me laugh!! In a very evil way.
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Response to GulfCoast66 (Original post)
Wed Aug 3, 2016, 09:41 PM
MFM008 (19,693 posts)
30. Groan
Fox poll. That's so the bigger the fall.
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Response to GulfCoast66 (Original post)
Thu Aug 4, 2016, 11:00 AM
bucolic_frolic (35,336 posts)
31. Increase your effort, don't stop for a moment
Hillary has upside potential with voters in her rallies around the country.
She's very personable and believable, and talks well ad lib. She could only be derailed by new and outside bad news. Trump's refrains against her are old and tired already. Trump has little upside potential with rallies. He is old news at this point. TV advertising could make inroads nationally or at state levels, but he won't sway many Democrats. I don't think Independents will break outside the 44% range one way or the other. The Democratic Party is given little credit for their firestorm campaigns of 2008 and 2012. Was it Obama for America? They were on top of everything, every news cycle, rapid-response to everything, setting the agenda. Trump does not set agenda. He doesn't know there is one. He just seeds paranoia, hate, mistrust, fear. We're in good shape. GOTV. Stimulate the electorate, motivate, talk family and values and hopes and dreams. Republicans have ceded the positive aspects of life. We own it. |