Poll shows close race between Clinton and Trump in Nevada
Source: LA Times
Donald Trump is down in polls in most swing states, but a new survey from Nevada found the Republican presidential nominee locked in a close contest with Hillary Clinton.
The Suffolk University poll released Thursday pegged Clinton at 44% and Trump at 42% in the Western battleground state with less than three months until election day. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson netted 5% support.
Nevada, which has six electoral votes, has been a perennial swing state, but with its large Latino electorate, some political analysts believe that Trump's inflammatory rhetoric about Mexican immigrants could hinder his chances of winning.
The Suffolk poll, one of few conducted in Nevada this summer, showed a gender divide: Clinton outpaced Trump among women, 44% to 39%, and Trump led among male voters, 54% to 43%, in the survey of 500 likely voters taken this week.
Read more: http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-trailguide-updates-down-in-most-swing-state-polls-one-in-1471543612-htmlstory.html
In some states, Trump's message of scapegoating racial and religious minorities does have some traction.
LenaBaby61
(6,974 posts)Not saying it's not a solid poll, but that sampling is a bit too small for me.
Still think Hillary carries Nevada in the fall.
triron
(22,006 posts)The gender differences indicate Trump is ahead unless they polled at least twice as many women as men. That's nonsense.
He wins men by 11 % and she wins women by 5%, yet she is up 2??
La Lioness Priyanka
(53,866 posts)triron
(22,006 posts)That's not what the link cites.
La Lioness Priyanka
(53,866 posts)And white women without a college degree
Imperialism Inc.
(2,495 posts)The article has a link to the actual PDF of the poll. Question 17 is the one. It shows Trump with 103 out of 228 male likely voter respondents which is 45%.
http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/8_18_2016_x-tabs.pdf
vadermike
(1,415 posts)I still think Hillary wins too as of now.. but what if this pivot works for Trumpie and the media assist him in the debates ? then what? what if he squeeks by a EC win and the what ? we would be fucked
Democat
(11,617 posts)Starting to look like a pattern?
La Lioness Priyanka
(53,866 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)and has turned to building his brand for after the election?
Give it up? Trump would not align himself with Breitbart's populist neonazi/young-Bircher extremists if he was still trying to win.
Interesting brand, btw, allied with/used by Breitbart's Stephen Bannon and his buddies the billionaire Mercer father and daughter.
Dhantesvz
(12 posts)If you follow the link in the article to the actual poll, the numbers are 45% men support Donald not 54%. Also of the likely voters more are registered democrats and both sides are voting there parties so reason Clinton is showing ahead. Correct me if I'm wrong but likely voter polls tend to lean republican as opposed to Registered voter, or is that the reverse?
triron
(22,006 posts)Makes sense since repugs are more likely to vote (at least historically).
Ellen Forradalom
(16,160 posts)to canvass and register voters. If you are Californian, join us!
MFM008
(19,814 posts)that have gone blue lately.
Hes having a hard time keeping red states red.
I dont know if he will get AZ or GA but I think our worse case senario
is winning with the same states Obama/Clinton won.
ffr
(22,670 posts)The one who tramples their values, demeans women, minorities, whites, blacks and Asians. He does a full frontal two middle fingers flipped out at them and they just smile, as though he would ever want anything to do with them.
His support with these people though is flimsy. If they vote for him, it'll be because he has an R by his name.
We must work hard to win every state and every contest. This is our moment.