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TomCADem

(17,387 posts)
Thu Aug 18, 2016, 10:34 PM Aug 2016

Poll shows close race between Clinton and Trump in Nevada

Source: LA Times

Donald Trump is down in polls in most swing states, but a new survey from Nevada found the Republican presidential nominee locked in a close contest with Hillary Clinton.

The Suffolk University poll released Thursday pegged Clinton at 44% and Trump at 42% in the Western battleground state with less than three months until election day. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson netted 5% support.

Nevada, which has six electoral votes, has been a perennial swing state, but with its large Latino electorate, some political analysts believe that Trump's inflammatory rhetoric about Mexican immigrants could hinder his chances of winning.

The Suffolk poll, one of few conducted in Nevada this summer, showed a gender divide: Clinton outpaced Trump among women, 44% to 39%, and Trump led among male voters, 54% to 43%, in the survey of 500 likely voters taken this week.

Read more: http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-trailguide-updates-down-in-most-swing-state-polls-one-in-1471543612-htmlstory.html



In some states, Trump's message of scapegoating racial and religious minorities does have some traction.
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Poll shows close race between Clinton and Trump in Nevada (Original Post) TomCADem Aug 2016 OP
Poll shows close race between Clinton and Trump in Nevada. LenaBaby61 Aug 2016 #1
does not compute triron Aug 2016 #2
He wins white men not all men. La Lioness Priyanka Aug 2016 #4
maybe? triron Aug 2016 #5
He's not winning any other demographic but white men La Lioness Priyanka Aug 2016 #12
I think the numbers for Trump got transposed and should be 45% not 54% Imperialism Inc. Aug 2016 #8
wow vadermike Aug 2016 #3
Many of your recent posts are concern posts about Clinton Democat Aug 2016 #11
She's going to reduce him to nothing in the debates La Lioness Priyanka Aug 2016 #13
What if Trump has abandoned any chance of winning Hortensis Aug 2016 #14
donald trumps numbers for men support is written backwards was actually 45% Dhantesvz Aug 2016 #6
probably right triron Aug 2016 #7
Volunteers from California are heading to Nevada Ellen Forradalom Aug 2016 #9
He gets no states MFM008 Aug 2016 #10
They stand with the man who makes fun of them. ffr Aug 2016 #15

LenaBaby61

(6,974 posts)
1. Poll shows close race between Clinton and Trump in Nevada.
Thu Aug 18, 2016, 10:55 PM
Aug 2016

Not saying it's not a solid poll, but that sampling is a bit too small for me.

Still think Hillary carries Nevada in the fall.

triron

(22,006 posts)
2. does not compute
Thu Aug 18, 2016, 10:59 PM
Aug 2016

The gender differences indicate Trump is ahead unless they polled at least twice as many women as men. That's nonsense.
He wins men by 11 % and she wins women by 5%, yet she is up 2??

Imperialism Inc.

(2,495 posts)
8. I think the numbers for Trump got transposed and should be 45% not 54%
Fri Aug 19, 2016, 12:14 AM
Aug 2016

The article has a link to the actual PDF of the poll. Question 17 is the one. It shows Trump with 103 out of 228 male likely voter respondents which is 45%.

http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/8_18_2016_x-tabs.pdf

vadermike

(1,415 posts)
3. wow
Thu Aug 18, 2016, 10:59 PM
Aug 2016

I still think Hillary wins too as of now.. but what if this pivot works for Trumpie and the media assist him in the debates ? then what? what if he squeeks by a EC win and the what ? we would be fucked

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
14. What if Trump has abandoned any chance of winning
Fri Aug 19, 2016, 12:31 PM
Aug 2016

and has turned to building his brand for after the election?

Give it up? Trump would not align himself with Breitbart's populist neonazi/young-Bircher extremists if he was still trying to win.

Interesting brand, btw, allied with/used by Breitbart's Stephen Bannon and his buddies the billionaire Mercer father and daughter.

Dhantesvz

(12 posts)
6. donald trumps numbers for men support is written backwards was actually 45%
Thu Aug 18, 2016, 11:42 PM
Aug 2016

If you follow the link in the article to the actual poll, the numbers are 45% men support Donald not 54%. Also of the likely voters more are registered democrats and both sides are voting there parties so reason Clinton is showing ahead. Correct me if I'm wrong but likely voter polls tend to lean republican as opposed to Registered voter, or is that the reverse?

Ellen Forradalom

(16,160 posts)
9. Volunteers from California are heading to Nevada
Fri Aug 19, 2016, 12:56 AM
Aug 2016

to canvass and register voters. If you are Californian, join us!

MFM008

(19,814 posts)
10. He gets no states
Fri Aug 19, 2016, 03:00 AM
Aug 2016

that have gone blue lately.
Hes having a hard time keeping red states red.
I dont know if he will get AZ or GA but I think our worse case senario
is winning with the same states Obama/Clinton won.

ffr

(22,670 posts)
15. They stand with the man who makes fun of them.
Fri Aug 19, 2016, 01:51 PM
Aug 2016

The one who tramples their values, demeans women, minorities, whites, blacks and Asians. He does a full frontal two middle fingers flipped out at them and they just smile, as though he would ever want anything to do with them.

His support with these people though is flimsy. If they vote for him, it'll be because he has an R by his name.

We must work hard to win every state and every contest. This is our moment.

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