Moody's Analytics election model predicts Clinton win

[onehandle]

Source: Reuters

Low gas prices and President Barack Obama's high approval ratings are key factors that favor Democrat Hillary Clinton winning the White House in next week's election, according to a model from Moody's Analytics that has accurately predicted the last nine U.S. presidential contests.

Clinton is forecast to pick up 332 Electoral College votes against 206 for Republican Donald Trump, Moody's Analytics predicted on Tuesday in the final update of its model before Election Day on Nov. 8. That would match Obama's margin of victory over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in 2012.

The Reuters-Ipsos States of the Nation project also predicts a Clinton win, with a 95 percent probability of her winning at least 278 electoral votes. A candidate needs to win at least 270 electoral votes to be elected president.

The Moody's Analytics model is based on a combination of state-level economic conditions and political history, and has correctly called the outcome of each presidential election since Republican Ronald Reagan unseated Democrat Jimmy Carter in 1980.

Read more: http://reuters.com/article/idUSKBN12W56J

[still_one]

1. What will allan lichtman say

[aaaaaa5a]

2. This is great news for John McCain. NT

[Ruth Bonner]

3. It looks like Moody's and Lichtman are just about equally accurate...

Moody's has correctly predicted the last 9 elections: 1980, 1984, 1988, 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012.

Lichtman has correctly predicted elections since 1984, the last 8 elections.

[Lucky Luciano]

4. Romney was vastly more qualified than orangefuck.

Orangefuck should not even get 60 EVs if Romney got 206.

[Feeling the Bern]

6. Most red states would vote for Satan if Satan were Republican

Moron America is still strong.

[Lucky Luciano]

8. Satan is definitely Republican.

[Wounded Bear]

5. The guy from Moody's was just on O'Donnell...

it was interesting. He explained their methodology which is all based on economic conditions essentially, with no polling data included.

[groundloop]

7. President Clinton needs a friendly Senate and House as well

IMO all this shit that Comey is pulling is in coordination with others and is intended more not only to weaken Hillary but to increase repub chances of holding the Senate.

[riversedge]

9. I keep thinking people are sick of divided government and the obstruction but seems

they will put up with Obstruction and gridlock as long as so many put the idiots back into Congress.