Dem holds slim lead in Pa. special election: poll

[Julian Englis]

Source: The Hill

Democrat Conor Lamb holds a slim lead in a new poll ahead of next week's high-profile special House election in Pennsylvania, a sign that Democrats could pull off an upset in the deep-red district.
A new poll from Emerson College, released Monday, shows Lamb with 48 percent of the vote, compared to GOP state Rep. Rick Saccone's 45 percent. Only 7 percent of voters are undecided ahead of next Tuesday's election.

The polling shows Lamb voters as more enthusiastic and engaged than Saccone voters. The Democrat also has a stronger net-favorability rating than Saccone.

Both sides are hoping that a victory could help set the narrative ahead of the midterms, since the race is one of the last competitive special elections before November.

Read more: http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/376762-dem-holds-slim-lead-in-pa-special-election-poll

[FrodosNewPet]

1. Let's pretend we are behind in this and every other race in 2018

We need to fight for EVERY SINGLE vote in every district.

I really hope 2016 brought home the reality that THERE ARE NO SAFE RACES. No more "Thank you for your concern" dismissals. No more premature celebrations of "obvious" victories.

We need to get people to the polls, even where we are supposed to win by 20 point margins.

[David__77]

2. Indeed!

The same should be got 2018 everywhere!

[lagomorph777]

6. We need to get cracking, stoke white-hot fury and turn red to blue.

[BigmanPigman]

3. I hate polls.

They can be used for the wrong reasons and can be skewed easily. I hope the Dems win in the Commonwealth of PA though. William Penn would be very pleased.

[Hortensis]

8. Just imagine those who came of political age in 2016.

They may never recover from Post-Polls-Stress-Disorder.

Pennsylvania Repubs really need Trump to shut up for the next week, but the media's a juggernaut most days anyway.

[BumRushDaShow]

4. "deep-red district"

But it's not a "deep-red" district. Registration-wise, Democrats are in the majority. They vote for Democrats at the local/county levels but unfortunately vote (R) for national elections.

[Orange Free State]

5. It is a weird place, Bum

The registration edge does not mean much. The Orange Menace won by 19 points, Romney did almost that well. I live a few miles outside the 18th in the adjoining district. You have to be what I call a “gun rack Democrat” to do well here. By that I mean OK with the use of guns for hunting and home defense, and against abortion (I have not heard Lamb address abortion) Lamb also has a better physical appearance than Saccone, who is pasty, dough faced, and apparently has an absurd frontal clip in toupee. Saccone also comes across kind of smarmy, and has hitched his wagon to being like Trump, while others are quietly unhitching before the horse pulls them all over a cliff. If the Repukes lose this custom made district, after outspending the Democrats multiple times over, some donors may hold money back in the mid-terms, figuring it is a waste. One can but hope.

Lamb looks youthful and fit. I think that appearance counts for a few points, whether we like that or not.

[BumRushDaShow]

7. Yeah I know

That area used to include Murtha's old 12th Congressional district and he was in there for forever and was a (D). He was even replaced by Critz (D) in a special election after Murtha passed away.... But then they redrew it and manufactured the 18th Congressional and a re-done 12th, and that was the end of that.