Election forecaster moves 26 races in favor of Dems
Source: The Hill
A top election forecaster has moved more than two dozen House races in favor of Democrats.
Sabatos Crystal Ball, an election handicapper at the University of Virginia, announced the ratings changes Thursday morning.
This is the first time in this election cycle that fewer than 218 seats have been at least rated as leaning Republican. All Democratic incumbents' races are now rated at least Likely Democratic.
The ratings also name GOP Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) for the first time. Ryans seat was moved from Safe to Likely Republican. The group noted that reports that he may not run for reelection were the primary reason the move.
Read more: http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/377337-election-forecaster-moves-26-races-in-favor-of-dems?__twitter_impression=true&__twitter_impression=true&__twitter_impression=true&__twitter_impression=true
Sherman A1
(38,958 posts)One can hope, but 24 hours is an eternity in politics.
Funtatlaguy
(10,870 posts)more than Sabato.
Demsrule86
(68,556 posts)titaniumsalute
(4,742 posts)Sabato is very honest about the addition of variables like major gaffes, scandals, and other domestic or geo-political events impact elections. It's a great read and well researched opinions.
Cosmocat
(14,564 posts)It would get the House with a 2 seat majority ...
Gerrymandering, vote suppression and all, just insane this country have given Rs the kind of power they have in DC, they were complete partisan jackasses LONG before they bent the knee to 45.
This country needs to absolutely repudiate them, the kind of white wash they got in BHO's first mid term, AT LEAST.
DownriverDem
(6,228 posts)but those who have the majority control the committees and agenda. Folks complain about the Dems not doing anything, but they seem to forget that the repubs control what is taken up and voted on. Winning elections is the key.
Cosmocat
(14,564 posts)I know ...
Getting the gavel is imperative.
But, dems don't and wont' have the fanatical/pathetic party discipline where EVERY STINKING ONE OF THEM bends over to whatever crazy ass shit they do.
They need a healthy margin to actually get anything done, as well as lend the "moral authority" a larger margin provides.
It will be hell as is, but it just gives some level of credence to the right wing/"liberal media" bullshit if they were to have that thin of a margin and moved to do what needs to be done with 45 ...
titaniumsalute
(4,742 posts)His work is always so good. Long read but worth it if you're political geek like me.
unblock
(52,205 posts)Then again, his republican tilt seems to pretty closely align with republican chicanery....
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)tossups or lean republican but could certainly go democratic when the wave happens. all in all good news for democrats
orangecrush
(19,546 posts)Wednesdays
(17,359 posts)jayschool2013
(2,312 posts)Rod Blum's seat now a toss-up. That's a good thing. If it goes Dem, the entire eastern half of the state will be represented by Democrats, while the west would be represented by idiots.
muntrv
(14,505 posts)Wounded Bear
(58,648 posts)There are literallly thousands of people out there, and hundreds of candidates that are working hard to bring this about.
Much work to be done. If we GOTV, we can make this happen.
not fooled
(5,801 posts)the zombie-eyed granny-starver (thanks, Charlie Pierce) is waiting to see how the wind blows before deciding whether to run again.
Those people in his district in Wisconsin need to wise up and kick his sociopathic, any rand-loving ass OUT.
I fell for this once, I'm not buying into this BS again.