'We blew it': U.S. reaches 'explosive' COVID-19 spread as virus is nearly impossible to control
Source: Yahoo! News
With COVID-19 cases increasing in 46 states, 10 of which broke single-day records for new cases on Thursday, America has officially entered what experts refer to as the “exponential” phase of spread — a rapid multiplying of cases that can’t be contained through traditional measures. On Thursday alone, the U.S. saw 160,000 new cases of the virus, more than any day since the pandemic began.
In California, the second state to surpass 1 million cases, thousands of people in cars lined up at Dodger Stadium on Thursday to get tested; in parts of Washington state, individuals waited four to five hours.
The current spike in cases — which some states are calling a third wave — has brought more than 100,000 new cases a day since Nov. 4. But that’s not counting those that may be going undetected. “We have widespread, uncontrolled COVID-19 in many parts of the country,” says Dr. Amesh Adalja, senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. “And we know the cases reported are an underestimate of what is out there ... we’re missing many cases because people aren’t getting tested. So the true number is much higher than what we’re actually seeing.”
Adalja says that exponential spread means a virus is no longer increasing on a linear scale but is instead spiking at a rapid rate. Dr. Oguzhan Alagoz, an engineering professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison who models the spread of infectious diseases, agrees, saying exponential spread refers to an “unbelievably high growth rate.” In this case, that means new COVID-19 cases in many parts of the country are doubling or tripling each week. Part of this, he says, is due to the fact that COVID-19 seems more contagious than other viruses.
Read more: https://news.yahoo.com/we-blew-it-us-reaches-explosive-covid-19-spread-as-virus-is-nearly-impossible-to-control-experts-say-210948870.html
= new reply since forum marked as read
I agree 10,000%
Day One--1.) Mask Mandate for entire country--MM
2.) $1000 fine--considering the consequences-not too high
3.) Begin prosecutions for Trump officials caught destroying US infrastructure.
Add your own to the list.....................
enact some pretty strict restrictions including closing borders between them and lock downs, etc?
Your increased rates obviously started when you were going into winter and thus the states/territories clamped down (with fines). Now that you are moving into spring, that would naturally help mitigate the community spread.
You guys have some showboating politicians but I don't think that most nations around the world have as many loons as the U.S. does, and who get as much full media attention yelling "FREEDUMB" as here.
And even worse, they manage to get themselves infected too and prance around infected as if it were a badge of honor. 
I think it's the most likely outcome at this point.
We have to hope that the overall 2.2% rate decreases as the cases goes up. Not out of the question if the most vulnerable have already mostly been taken out. I'm not an infectious disease expert so I don't have any way to guess HOW MUCH it would drop or even if it will. But I'd guess it COULD go down quite a bit.
If it doesn't ... then we're going to lose 4.3M people on the way to herd immunity.
Unless that vaccine comes FAST.
Lets make sure ... it's not any of us 
Edit: significant flaw in the math there though is that you don't have to reach 60% in terms of people tested, you have to reach 60% of people who've been exposed and developed immunity. That would 'work' even if 0 people were ever tested.
The flaw comes in because while we know we have 11M tested, we don't actually know how close we are to having 60% of the popular exposed and (in theory) immune.
While it's highly unlikely, we might actually have 60% exposed right now and not know it.
Thus, you can't know whether you can extrapolate the 2.2% in the way you did there (and be accurate I mean). The 4M number would be accurate if you needed 60% of the population to have *tested positive* for the herd immunity ... but you don't 
AZ has kinda impressed me, I have seen VERY few people not wearing masks in public in my few brief forays out the house lately. It's esp. impressive to me given where I live ... Biggs country, as you say.
I didn't vote for him 
Just because you're seeing a fatality rate of 2.2% by calculating total number infections as determined by testing/total number of deaths (since disease started) doesn't mean you know that's going to hold up when that number grows and time passes.
It could go up, it could go down.
There are many forces that could come into play over time. An advance in treatment techniques or drugs that makes it less likely infected patients die from it, for example. If the people most predisposed to die from contracting it have died in disproportionately large numbers at the beginning of the outbreak ... these sorts of things could make it go down over time.
Hospitals being overloaded could make it go up over time. I'm sure there are some others.
S'all I'm saying
... Thank You for the share....
Whole gender just exists because females (the true essence of every species) can't do meiosis on their own.
There's a reason female is XX and male is a mutation with XY. Same reason we're all female embryos (physically) until however many months into gestation, when 1/2 of us start mutating in to the male form.
We're a bastardized offshoot of the true version of our species. The female.
Created by nature ... to have sex.
Though I suppose in some species we stick around and assist with child-rearing ... make ourselves somewhat useful in other ways
Empty ICU beds, empty OR suites, etc. are money drains, not profit drivers. And the metrics aren't just occupied resources, it's also how fast they can turn those resources. How many patients they can push through those hospital beds, ICU wards, OR suites and fancy OB facilities. People who need medical services or they'll fucking die are simply metrics, numbers, profit drivers. The system is leaned out for maximum profit, like a goddamn potato chip factory. Thus, the inevitable epidemic of a deadly pathogen overwhelms the system. They knew this was coming. They simply chose, for financial reasons, not to prepare. Our system is obscene. And Covid-19 rips away the vale of "market driven medicine" to show how truly evil it is. It's ironic that no one expects our military to turn a profit every year. It's a necessary service for our public good they say. But whether our citizens live or die miserably? Oh, that' different.
Wait until 2021 and 2022 for the gigantic wave of bankruptcies from medical bills for people who required acute care during this crises. This herculean effort by our healthcare system isn't being done for free or on the cheap. The legacy of Covid-19 will live well past the time we bring it under control.
