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highplainsdem

(48,987 posts)
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 10:15 AM Oct 2012

Poll: Presidential Race Tied Up In Florida, Obama Up Big Among Early Voters

Source: TPM

President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney are completely tied in Florida, according to the latest automated poll from SurveyUSA.

The poll shows Obama and Romney each earning the support of 47 percent of likely Sunshine State voters, while the president claims commanding leads among early voters.

Fifty-seven percent of Florida voters who said they have already cast a ballot did so for the president, compared with 42 percent who indicated they have already voted for Romney. Obama also leads by 10 among those who intend to vote early, while Romney holds a 13-point lead among voters who plan to wait for Election Day.

-snip-

Read more: http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/poll-presidential-race-tied-up-in-florida-obama



And since this is an automated poll and doesn't call cell phones unless given specific permission

http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/i-have-a-cell-phone-only/

it's almost certainly undercounting Obama supporters.
11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Poll: Presidential Race Tied Up In Florida, Obama Up Big Among Early Voters (Original Post) highplainsdem Oct 2012 OP
Happy dance marions ghost Oct 2012 #1
K & R AzDar Oct 2012 #2
Leaving out of NY on Sunday HockeyMom Oct 2012 #3
GO FLORIDA!!! Buddaman Oct 2012 #4
Bad, Bad news for Team Elephant ItsTheMediaStupid Oct 2012 #5
Yes, all of his chances depend on winning FL. BlueStreak Oct 2012 #8
If the numbers are accurate, that probably gives Romney a narrow win BlueStreak Oct 2012 #6
How is that tied? go west young man Oct 2012 #7
If it is close the GOP can steal it. zeemike Oct 2012 #10
Repigs are going to be wishing they did not make the ballot so long! nt thereismore Oct 2012 #9
it use to work for them because they had the edge in early voting ,waiting til nov 6 failure n\t -LOKI -BAD FOR YA Oct 2012 #11
 

HockeyMom

(14,337 posts)
3. Leaving out of NY on Sunday
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 10:33 AM
Oct 2012

back to Florida. I BETTER be able to fly out by then!!!! I HAVE to be able to cast my ballot on Election Day. Never sent in my absentee ballot because I was too worried about voting that way.

ItsTheMediaStupid

(2,800 posts)
5. Bad, Bad news for Team Elephant
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 11:22 AM
Oct 2012

Correct me if I'm wrong, but if FL goes blue, Romnesia is screwed, even if he manages to steal Ohio, he's toast.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
8. Yes, all of his chances depend on winning FL.
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 11:37 AM
Oct 2012

If we take Florida, then Romney could win all the following states and still have only 266:
NC, VA, CO, OH, WI, NH, IA.

He has absolutely no chance without Florida.

 

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)
6. If the numbers are accurate, that probably gives Romney a narrow win
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 11:34 AM
Oct 2012

If the voters were divided 25/25/50 for already voted / planning to early vote / plan to vote on Tuesday then Romney would win by 0.5%.

 

go west young man

(4,856 posts)
7. How is that tied?
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 11:37 AM
Oct 2012

Another BS misleading headline. Obama leads by a substantial margin among early voters. Where are the Repubes gonna make up the difference? On election day? I think not. Headline should read Obama has a commanding lead. I'm fed up with the "close race" BS from the MSM. It's a lie and always has been.

zeemike

(18,998 posts)
10. If it is close the GOP can steal it.
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 01:42 PM
Oct 2012

But I question the poll too....just did a search for this polling company...it operates out of a strip office building in NJ...and probably a one man operation....but we give it credence?

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