Tropical Storm Ian poised to intensify, strike Cuba and threaten Florida

[Justice matters.]

Source: Axios

Tropical Storm Ian, which formed late Friday night over the southern Caribbean, is set to intensify into a powerful hurricane during the next few days.

The big picture: The storm could become a major hurricane, crossing portions of Cuba and then turning northward into Florida by midweek.



Read more: https://www.axios.com/2022/09/24/tropical-storm-ian-intensify-florida-cuba

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https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/145630.shtml?cone#contents

[jimfields33]

1. I'm in Florida, Central Florida to be exact.

Obviously I’m not thrilled with a hurricane coming. But I have to admit I’m glad it’s a daily hurricane and another night one which I absolutely hate.

[Justice matters.]

2. Stay safe and keep us updated as much as possible!

[jimfields33]

3. Thank you will do.

My neighbor is already boarding up his house. I’ll wait until Wednesday because or Tuesday because I have a storm shutters that are pretty easy to put on. He’s using boards. We’re in Leesburg supposedly the safest place for a hurricane in Florida but nobody’s taking chances on this one. Definitely will keep you updated on progress of the hurricane. There’s still a chance that I could move and go a different direction.

[nitpicker]

5. Did you move there after 2004?

At my stepmother's house, Charley took off half the sunroom and Jeanne finished the job.

Do keep an eye on it: one site is https://flhurricane.com/

However, one may not have a clue until Tuesday.

[jimfields33]

16. I moved here in 2014. 2004 is legendary around here.

People talk about those hurricanes constantly.

[Traildogbob]

4. Wish you the best

I gotta be reminded there ARE some good people in Florida. I tend to think the hurricanes will only demolish Mardi-Lardo, Trumps, DeSatan, Rubio, Gaetz and Scott. And all the GQP cult. We need the Good Floridians to be safe and vote away all those pukes. Stay safe, hope you are not in the path, and it only hits Mardi-Lardo and the Gov Mansion.
And Tennessee FINALLY beats the Gators today. I am Part owner after paying my daughters out of state tuition.
Cheers. Honker down. It may be a long storm season.

[nitpicker]

6. Unfortunately

It looks far more likely to hit my stepmother's place than Thump's or Tallahasse.

But this could change.

[Traildogbob]

7. Sending suppprt vibes.

Wishing safety to you and loved ones.

[radical noodle]

15. I am too

and once the power goes out if it's at night, there's no way to really know what's happening. It leaves everything to the imagination. The thing I dread the most is being without power for days. We have a generator we can run long enough to keep the fridge cold and to charge up our phones, but even our pets are uneasy without the usual "house noises."

[nitpicker]

8. 2 pm 24 sep update

ropical Storm Ian Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
200 PM EDT Sat Sep 24 2022

...IAN EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN LATER THIS WEEKEND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 75.8W
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Cayman Islands has upgraded the Hurricane
Watch to a Hurricane Warning for Grand Cayman, and has changed the
Hurricane Watch to a Tropical Storm Watch for Little Cayman and
Cayman Brac.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Grand Cayman

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Jamaica
* Little Cayman and Cayman Brac

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests in western and central Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the
Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of Ian.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ian was
located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 75.8 West. Ian is moving
toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is
expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the northwest is
forecast on Sunday, followed by a north-northwestward turn on Monday
and a northward motion on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center
of Ian is forecast to pass southwest of Jamaica on Sunday, and pass
near the Cayman Islands Sunday night and early Monday. Ian will then
approach western Cuba late Monday and emerge over the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Significant strengthening is forecast during the next few
days. Ian is expected to become a hurricane late Sunday or Sunday
night and could be at or near major hurricane strength late Monday
when it approaches western Cuba.

[ancianita]

9. Its probable path according to the National Hurricane Center

If it reaches Category 2 strength by the time it reaches Cuba, or even Cat 3, it's unlikely to rise above that by the time it hits Florida, imo. I've lived through four hurricanes on the FL east coast, and now live just north of Sarasota. Will be battening down, but I'm thinking it won't be able to gain above the category it was when Cuba slowed it. We'll see.

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[Justice matters.]

10. Here's to hoping it steers toward Mad-a-Largo...

Hoping everyone else than the magats will be safe.

[ancianita]

11. I hear you, but that's not how this hurricane could possibly go at this point.

It will hit everyone in its path equally, Cubans, Jamaicans, and Floridians alike. Only adequate preparedness will make the difference.

[William769]

12. Great! Just what I fucking need.

[quaker bill]

13. The track has moved west

Since the track nearly parallels the west FL coast, small changes move landfall a large distance. In this case the track has moved more than 100 miles west.


[link:https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL092022_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/234839_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png|]

[Shanti Shanti Shanti]

14. Yes, tracks now heading almost straight north, N gulf coast toward Big Bend, dammit