Self-Driving Cars Could Save 300,000 Lives Per Decade in America
If driverless cars deliver on their promise to eliminate the vast majority of fatal traffic accidents, the technology will rank among the most transformative public-health initiatives in human history. But how many lives, realistically, will be saved?
By the end of this century, theres good reason to believe that tens of millions of traffic fatalities will be prevented around the world.
This is not merely theoretical. Theres already some precedent for change of this magnitude in the realms of car culture and automotive safety. In 1970, about 60,000 people died in traffic accidents in the United States. A dramatic shift toward safetyincluding required seat belts and ubiquitous airbagshelped vastly improve a persons chance of surviving the American roadways in the decades that followed. By 2013, 32,719 people died in traffic crashes, a historic low.
Researchers estimate that driverless cars could, by midcentury, reduce traffic fatalities by up to 90 percent. Which means that, using the number of fatalities in 2013 as a baseline, self-driving cars could save 29,447 lives a year. In the United States alone, that's nearly 300,000 fatalities prevented over the course of a decade, and 1.5 million lives saved in a half-century. For context: Anti-smoking efforts saved 8 million lives in the United States over a 50-year period.
Read the rest at:
http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2015/09/self-driving-cars-could-save-300000-lives-per-decade-in-america/407956/
whatthehey
(3,660 posts)Who probably have difficulty squaring 17 in their heads, will claim that they are safer and better than modern computing power at accounting for the insanely complex interplay of ever-changing momentum, vectors, and obstacles that is driving in the modern age.
Blue_Tires
(55,445 posts)the writer buried the lede with that "mid-century" silliness...
Either way, those projections 35 years from now are laughably optimistic for what is still unproven tech today...Yeah, I guess a self-driving car would negate the dangers of drunkards, druggies, and asleep-at-the-wheel types, but the rest is speculative and highly questionable...Nevermind the fact that self-driving cars could be old tech by 2050 -- We might all be using super-smart skateboards or jetpacks that far out...
Panich52
(5,829 posts)Yes, I cuss a lot at idiots on the road, but combining tech difficulties and hackers (worrying enough as it is now), he idea is frightening.
Besides, how long before we can eliminate conservatives who have trouble spending money to keep roads in repair - a necessity f/ auto autos...?