BTRTN: It's the "Get Out the Vote, Stupid!"

[reggieandlee]

Born To Run the Numbers takes an historical view to note that Trump may be far stronger going into 2020 than one would think based on the mid-terms. But the mid-terms also show the Democrats the mantra for success...

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/11/btrtn-its-get-out-vote-stupid.html

Excerpts: "First, the bad news: progressives need to know that the Americans tend to re-elect their incumbent President by an overwhelming degree. There are significant reasons why… which all seemed aligned to benefit Trump as we head toward 2020. Moreover, we cannot and should not assume that this blue wave generated momentum that will in any way carry into 2020. In sum, Donald Trump may be in a far stronger position going into 2020 than we realize. Let’s examine this through the lens of history...
"Aside from two exceptions, the party in power has held fast for their eight year turn at the wheel. In a 72 year period that contained a maximum of nine possible eight-year single-party terms, it happened seven times...
"If anyone is taking comfort that Donald Trump is wounded and therefore badly damaged going into the 2020 Presidential campaign season, think again. For starters, he has enormous wind at his back from two simple facts: the economy is roaring, and the country is not neck-deep in a wildly unpopular war. Those two facts alone are huge...
"We’ve been talking for a long time now about the fact that the United States of America is radically polarized. About the fact that it seems everyone has already made up their mind...The game has changed. Now, it is simply counting how many minds have been made up on the Red team vs. the Blue team. It is no longer a question of who can persuade the most people of their message. It is who can get the most people who already agree with them to actually vote. That is the logical conclusion of radical polarization."