Trump has no plan
Puffing and wheezing as if he had just climbed 10 flights of stairs, President Trump gave a bizarre speech Wednesday morning in response to Iranian missile attacks on U.S. forces in Iraq, which were in turn a response to Trump's assassination of top Iranian statesman and military leader Qassem Soleimani. Trump's delivery was alarming: His speech was slurred, he botched the pronunciation of several words — warning that Iranian aggression would not be "tolerited," and boasting about his economic "accompliments" — and he baldly lied about Iran's behavior and the nuclear deal agreed to under President Obama.
The main policy announcement, though, was the imposition of yet more sanctions on the already-struggling Iranian economy. Several pundits have trumpeted all this as a victory for Trump's Iran policy. But it couldn't be more obvious that Trump has no plan at all here. His stated goals are much further away than they would be if he had simply stayed in the nuclear deal with Iran, and there is zero chance he is going to get anything better than that. He simply has no idea what he is doing.
Trump's erratic actions make for a jarring comparison with Iranian restraint. Assassinating Soleimani was an egregious violation of one of the baseline rules of international diplomacy — if two countries are not at war, then their senior leadership is off-limits to attack. For if it's fine to kill Iranian statesmen while they are traveling to a peace conference, in public and undefended, then it's fine for Iran (or some other power) to blow up, say, Vice President Pence when he is on a diplomatic trip to Ireland or somewhere. It would not be ideal to have the entire planet be a free-fire zone for top diplomats and statesmen. (Of course the U.S. has violated this rule dozens of times in the past, though never so spectacularly.)
What's more, this entire conflict is 100 percent Trump's fault. Iran was faithfully adhering to the nuclear deal struck during the Obama administration, only for Trump to renege on American promises for no reason and reimpose sanctions in 2018. Now he's murdered a popular Iranian leader over attacks on the U.S. embassy that were only partly related to Iran. (And let's not forget that as of 2015, Trump had plainly never heard of either Soleimani or the Quds Force which he commanded.)
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