Simon Rosenberg - Trump is NOT strong

[RussBLib]

I trust many of you are keeping up with Simon Rosenberg's Hopium Chronicles on Substack? His Substack is not a year old yet and he has become essential reading, IMHO. He's also become a regular guest on Lawrence O'Donnell's MSNBC show.

Link

Trump Is Not Strong, Or Winning
In every possible way I would much rather be us than them
Simon Rosenberg
Feb 22, 2024

Trump is far weaker than 2020, the GOP party itself is in shambles, and they’ve grown far uglier, extreme and dangerous. Right now the Republican is an unprecedented shitshow - I mean, c’mom:

Trump is campaigning from the courthouse this time, not the White House. He is facing 91 felony indictments. He and Rudy owe $700m. He keeps losing in court, badly. He raped E. Jean Carroll in a department store dressing room. He oversaw one of the largest financial frauds in American history. His criminal trial for cooking the books to pay off a porn star starts in a few weeks. He stole America’s secrets, lied to the FBI about it, shared these secrets with others. He tried to overturn the 2020 election, led an armed insurrection against the US government, and has promised to end American democracy if he somehow gets into the Oval Office again. He and his family have corruptly taken more money from foreign governments than any political family in history. He is singularly responsible for ending Roe and stripping the rights and freedoms away from more than half the population.

His campaign and his party are in shambles. He is spending more money than he is taking in (just holy shit). Nikki Haley outraised him in January. 93% of registered Republicans in Iowa choose to not vote for him. 43% of Haley voters in Iowa said they would vote for Biden. He underperformed public polls in NH by 10-15 points. Polling in these early states found 20-30% of the GOP eletorate could flee if Trump is convicted (which has already happened btw). The RNC is broke. It’s leadership has been ousted. His daughter in law may take over the RNC (LOLOL) because she may be the only member of his family legally allowed to serve in a leadership role in a non-profit. Dozens of Republican Party leaders in the battleground states have been indicted for various electoral crimes, including trying to overturn the 2020 election. MAGA-led state parties are crashing across the US. GOP state party chairs in both Arizona and Florida just resigned in epic scandals. The GOP House is arguably the worst in American history, and House Republicans are retiring and abandoning ship in record numbers. Despite his “wealth,” Trump is somehow forcing the Republican Party to pay for his outrageous legal bills, draining the party of resources he and other Rs need against a well funded Biden/DNC operation. The hard side of Republican politics has collapsed, something that deserves far more discussion.

Trump’s performance on the stump is far more erratic, delusional and disturbing than ever before. He is making damaging, impulsive traditional political mistakes like coming out against the ACA which are the kind of mistakes losing candidates make. He wears more make-up than a drag queen, attendance at his rallies is way off, and his wife and daughter are refusing to campaign with him. The thrill is gone, baby.

His agenda is far more radical and dangerous than it was in 2016 or 2020. He wants Putin to win, the West to lose. The border to be in chaos, and migrants to keep flowing into the country. The economy to crash. Women, people of color to lose more freedoms and rights. The planet to warm faster. 10 year olds to carry their rapist's baby to term, and for more women to die on an operating room table. Tens of millions to lose their health insurance. More dead kids in schools. Verified rapists in positions of authority. A restoration of pre-Civil Rights era white supremacy. Big tax cuts for their donors, higher deficits and less for everyone else. Books banned across the US. Seniors to pay more for insulin and prescription drugs. Foreign governments free to pollute our daily discourse and harass our citizens. Teenagers to work night shifts in meat packing plants and not go to school. The minimum wage to stay at $7.25. Mass arrests and mass deportations of immigrants long settled in the US. Insurrectionists to get pardoned. 10% tariffs which would blow up the global economic order and punish American consumers. To end American democracy for all time. Good luck selling all this to the American people who have rejected a milder MAGA in 2018, 2020, 2022, 2023 and early 2024, and already rejected him.

https://russblib.blogspot.com

[Fiendish Thingy]

1. Direct link to Rosenberg's blog:

https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/

[Walleye]

2. Of course he wants to end democracy, he has never had support of the majority of the people

[jaxexpat]

4. Nor have any Republican presidential candidates won with support of the majority of the voters since 1996 except 2004*.

* Something smelled about the 2004 election but we were told to just accept it and let it ride for the sake of the nation.

[PTL_Mancuso]

5. Many Questions about 2004 -- All conveniently brushed aside by our Fourth Estate

Such as: The death of Michael Connell, Karl Rove's Chief IT guy, just before he was to go before Congress to answer questions about vote-rigging in Ohio, etc.

[link:https://www.cbsnews.com/news/republican-it-guru-dies-in-plane-crash/|

Federal investigators are looking into a small plane crash in Ohio which claimed the life of its pilot, a Republican media consultant who was instrumental in the presidential and gubernatorial campaigns of three members of the Bush Family.

Michael Connell,45, of Akron died Friday when his plane crashed near a vacant house in Uniontown while attempting to land at nearby Akron-Canton Airport.

But the fatal accident is also raising questions about Connell and his work for key political figures and lobbyists, which has targeted him in investigations over missing White House e-mails and a lawsuit alleging electronic voting fraud.

Following Last Friday's fatal accident, CBS Affiliate WOIO reported that Connell, who had recently been subpoenaed to testify in relation to a lawsuit alleging vote rigging in the 2004 Ohio election, was warned at least twice about flying his plane because his plane might be sabotaged.

. . . [part of article skipped by me] . . .

Connell's central role in building the IT infrastructure of the White House and his association with Karl Rove has brought him into the controversy surrounding missing White House e-mails relating to the firing of U.S. Attorneys and other topics, and the fate of e-mail communications sent by Rove and other administration staffers which were sent via a Republican Party Web site, gwb43.com, rather than through a whitehouse.gov address.

Connell built the gwb43.com site, which shares mail servers with GovTech.

Connell's Internet expertise also led him to be subpoenaed earlier this year to testify in an Ohio federal court regarding alleged voter fraud in the 2004 election. Despite exit polls showing a lead by Democratic nominee John Kerry of more than 4 percent, Mr. Bush won the state's vote by 2.5 percent, along with its crucial electoral votes.

Much has been written about problems at the polls in Ohio that year, where voters in many (predominantly Democratic) precincts were forced to wait hours because of a shortage of working voting machines. A lawsuit being pursued by attorney Clifford Arneback seeks to answer questions about this and other ballot problems. [For example, in Franklin County Mr. Bush received 4,258 votes in a precinct where only 638 voters cast ballots.]

Search around! You'll find lots of other memory-holed (by our vaunted free press) Rove-ian rat-fkkery that threw the election. I'm sure many of you were reading/writing stuff related to the vote here on DU during those times!

[asiliveandbreathe]

3. Thank you for posting..when Simon Rosenberg speaks

I am all ears...he is a brilliant Democratic strategist..my task for today was to find Hopium Chronicals.. ..

[ShazzieB]

6. I hope lots of people read this and think about what Rosenberg is saying.

I see so many posts here from people who are frantic with worry about him winning in November (for very real reasons), and I always want to reassure them but haven't quite known how.

The thing is, I'm not sure everyone realizes just how weak TSF - and the GOP - are. Rosenberg lays it out very clearly here, and I think the worriers would benefit from reading what he has to say.

TSF is weak, he's in really bad shape, snd it's only going to get worse. At the rate he's going, he'll be gibbering like a monkey by summer. The GOP is collapsing from within, and I can't see how his campaign or the party will have enough money to mount the kind of campaign that he'll need to maintain any credibility.

Yes, I know he still has adoring worshippers who hang on his every word, but I think their number is dwindling and will shrink even more as time goes on. He's going to need a lot more people than them to vote for him, and I don't see that happening. There are way too many people, and I don't just mean Democrats, who don't trust him and/or absolutely can't stand him for a variety of reasons.

Yes, we will need to work hard to GOTV and all, but I'm honestly not all that worried, and reading this article has made me feel even better about things. I hope tons of other DUers will read it as well.

[RussBLib]

7. Bingo. Bullseye. Well put.

"We're going to have very powerful crime. And you will be proud of it "

Uh, that shit ain't sellin' baby.

He is decomposing right before our eyes.

https://russblib.blogspot.com/?m=1