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Related: About this forumThis is Not Cool: Is a new El nino brewing?
Last edited Thu May 8, 2014, 08:14 AM - Edit history (1)
Short answer: Almost certainly, maybe one of the most consequential cycles of the new century.
I interviewed Dr. Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research, and Dr. Josh Willis of NASA Jet Propulsion Lab for this short primer.
liberal N proud
(60,334 posts)To say the least
randr
(12,412 posts)The effects of climate change vary widely. Some areas will have severe drought and others an increase in rainfall. Where I live, in Western Colorado, the effects of El Nino are welcome. We get what is being called a "monsoonal season" starting in mid July and running to late August. This brings much needed moisture during a normally dry period. Cools things down a bit as well.
Gothmog
(145,231 posts)Thie El Niño is bad news for Texas
Quixote1818
(28,936 posts)Go to the 2:50 mark of the video.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)abelenkpe
(9,933 posts)Cause this winter we've seen no rain. At least in southern CA.
Quixote1818
(28,936 posts)And check out the forecast I posted below. NOAA currently is predicting regular winter moisture for CA despite them expecting a moderate El Nino. Kind of sucks if that holds true.
abelenkpe
(9,933 posts)You're right that would not really be the relief this area needs. But maybe it's better than flooding?
Quixote1818
(28,936 posts)It could very well change. But at least below normal precipitation is very unlikely with an El Nino.
DhhD
(4,695 posts)which can change. The Northern Pacific has been cooler and cloudier this decade than usual.
Updates can be found at NOAA Climate Prediction Center (like the maps above) at:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=4
Quixote1818
(28,936 posts)During the winter?
See here:
DhhD
(4,695 posts)Should lead to the May 8 , 2014 pdf. from El Nino Watch link.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.html
KoKo
(84,711 posts)Kingofalldems
(38,456 posts)I understand the cold last winter was caused by a Malaysian system that found it's way to the arctic.