Ari Berman: Can Obama Win in North Carolina, Again?

[geefloyd46]

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[JoePhilly]

1. Plus ... any focus in NC also touches Virgina, and Florida.

Mitt may win NC, but with Obama putting some focus in NC, Mitt has to defend it ... and Obama gets to talk to VA and FL any time he talks to NC.

Meanwhile, Obama is going to solidify CO and NV at the same time. And use PA to try and get OH. And then spend time in MI.

Romney has no strategy to tie any of the battleground states together. Obama does.

Romney in Tampa, is fighting the last war. And Obama is expanding the playing field. Its not Dean's 50 state strategy, but more like a 30 state strategy. Let Romney have Montana. Make him fight for every state after that and the few other pure red states.

[tomm2thumbs]

2. when I realize Newt clobbered Romney 40% to 28% in South Carolina..

I'm thinking that there is a really good chance for this, just based on the fact that folks really don't think that much of Romney and they aren't going to pound the pavement for his weak sauce.

http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/01/22/10210325-2012-gingrich-routs-romney-in-sc?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter