My Fellow Iowa Democrats..

[Peacetrain]

Fingers crossed!!... In my very gut.. I think Braley is going to take the senate seat.. I don't think we will get rid of King.. though he got worried enough to actually debate this time.. He is just so entrenched, like Branstad. But even out here on the western border.. It is looking better for our local Democratic candidates.. That is very encouraging to me.. To all of you on the eastern side of the state.. GOTV.. you guys rock!!

[Cairycat]

1. I so hope you're right

but I can't get rid of this sinking feeling.

I'm working two jobs and haven't made time to GOTV* - but my son at Iowa says I'm probably exempted, because he's been doing GOTV 3-4 days a week this last month or so. They seem to have a pretty active UDems organization at Iowa, so that gives me hope.

*I have spared some money from our tight family budget to give to Braley's campaign.

[Peacetrain]

2. Well a huge huge thank you to your son..

that is awesome... we are so blasted old on the western side of the state.. and that includes the republicans.. I have friends who are republicans.. and mid terms are really difficult to get the younger people out to volunteer.. You just made my day!!! My son graduated his undergrad from Iowa.. great school..

[blm]

3. (( ))

.

[caber09]

4. Question for Iowa Dems: Braley leads 56 - 36 percent among those who already have voted.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2110

If this is anywhere near the truth ( and I sure hope it is!), with continued GOTV effort and more than 1/3 of voters voting already, how is it possible that Ernst would win if you factor in usual R turnout are just voting earlier plus alot of the early D vote being newly registered/those who normally sit out midterms with typical D voters still yet to vote....I am not a math major, please advise, how is it possible with these numbers to end up losing?

[slumcamper]

7. Enthusiasm gap?

778 likely voters were polled. The 56-36 margin for Braley is based on the subset of that group who have actually already voted. How many that actually is remains unknown. Clearly, among those polled more Braley supporters have already voted.

That would seem to suggest enthusiasm, right?

However, as of today D have requested 213,546 absentee ballots and have returned 175,346 (82%).
By comparison, R have requested 190,193 and have returned 167,545 (88.0%).

Why are D voters sitting on their ballots?

As a percentage of absentee ballots requested and actually returned, R voters have been more diligent.

If you have an absenttee ballot and haven't sent it, take it with you and vote in person. It will be cancelled and your vote will count. If you've lost it VOTE ANYWAY!!! Your vote will be considered provisional for a few days as reasonable (until absentee ballots enroute in the mail are received) but the provisional votes may very well prove decisive in this close election.


Let's go, team! FIRE UP!

[emulatorloo]

5. Thanks for the great post! Am cautiously optimistic about Braley too.

Supposed to be a beautiful day tomorrow, so that works in our favor too.

[Peacetrain]

6. Rainy and cold today here.. but clear and beautiful tommorrow I hope!!

We will have to have a great celebration here in the Iowa forum when Braley wins !!!!

[rurallib]

8. I am with you but damn I have run into a lot of gloomy guses today

I see no enthusiasm for Ernst at all, lots for Braley.

[Peacetrain]

9. Rural.. hoping for big turnout..

[progressoid]

10. My fingers crossed too!

Wish I had time to watch the results...but back to work!