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a kennedy

(29,711 posts)
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 01:25 PM Feb 2012

Poll: Thompson favored over Baldwin in U.S. Senate race

MILWAUKEE (WTAQ) - A new poll says Democrat Tammy Baldwin has the edge in becoming Wisconsin's next U.S. senator -- unless Tommy Thompson's her final opponent.

48 percent of the 716 registered voters polled by the Marquette Law School said they prefer the former Republican governor, to 44 percent for House Democrat Baldwin.

But the poll said Baldwin would defeat 2 other Republican hopefuls -- former Congressman Mark Neumann 44-40 percent, and Assembly Speaker Jeff Fitzgerald 48-42. Also, the poll said only Thompson has any real statewide name recognition with just over 8 months until Election Day.

44 percent gave Thompson a favorable rating, and only 18 percent said they didn't know enough about ex-governor to form an opinion. But 55 percent said they were not sure what to think about Fitzgerald yet. And 50 percent didn't know enough about Newmann -- even though he ran a statewide primary for governor last year and finished behind Scott Walker.

Also, Baldwin has some work to do in the name recognition department. 49 percent in the Marquette poll said they didn't know about her as the lone Democratic hopeful to replace Herb Kohl in November.

http://wtaq.com/news/articles/2012/feb/23/poll-thompson-favored-over-baldwin-in-us-senate-race/

Looks like my money will be going to Tammy's campaign. She's gonna need it.

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Scuba

(53,475 posts)
1. That's because neither has gotten any scrutiny lately....
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 02:03 PM
Feb 2012

... when people are reminded of Tommy's foibles they'll abandon him. He has dirt everywhere, from screwing his secretaries to shady deals with the road builders. He can't take the heat.

hue

(4,949 posts)
2. No link to the actual study?? I'd like to see the statistics on this.
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 03:05 PM
Feb 2012

Marquette Law School is notably ranked at the bottom of top 100 law schools and in previous years
wasn't even ranked. 716 as an "N" is not a large sample and it doesn't even reveal where these voters
were from. What statistics were used to give this piece of propaganda?? This so called "poll" cannot be used to predict the
future outcome of any election.

This article itself is poorly written with a Repub bias.

But I think it's a reflection of the Repuke IQ level (IMHO)

Viking12

(6,012 posts)
4. n=716 is a sufficient sample size if the sampling method is good.
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 04:16 PM
Feb 2012

The results are posted here:
https://law.marquette.edu/poll/results-data/

I haven't had time to review the method and internals so I'll refrain from comment for now other than to say that polls 9 months out from an election are meaningless.

hue

(4,949 posts)
5. MU Law School should not be putting a so called poll like this out in the public.
Thu Mar 1, 2012, 01:01 AM
Mar 2012

The only reason anyone would do so would be to mind f**k the general public.
All Marquette should be ashamed of itself! This will contribute to lowering it's rankings even further.
Not that I care; I hope they dig a deep enough hole that they never get out.

dragonlady

(3,577 posts)
3. Who will the Tea Party vote for in a primary?
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 04:11 PM
Feb 2012

Probably not Tommy, the train-loving moderate who has his work cut out to make them think he's conservative enough.

lutefisk

(3,974 posts)
6. Aren't Wisconsin voters even more to the right than the last time Tommy ran?
Thu Mar 1, 2012, 02:45 PM
Mar 2012

Wisconsin Gubernatorial Election 1998
Republican Tommy Thompson 59.66
Democratic Ed Garvey 38.70

Wisconsin Gubernatorial Election 1994
Republican Tommy Thompson 67.23
Democratic Chuck Chvala 30.88

To put it bluntly, I see a lot of stupid where I live (it isn't Madison), and I don't think Tammy talking to that "demographic" is going to change their "minds". We aren't exactly the smartest state on the block...

tanglefoot

(202 posts)
9. All Tammy has to do is run an ad about what a disaster Thompson was at DHS - Anthrax, anyone?
Fri Mar 2, 2012, 04:11 PM
Mar 2012

He's a bumbling idiot. At his age, no amount of corporate money will camoflage that,

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