When is the likelyhood that Democrats regain control of the US Senate? 2020,2022,or 2024?
2020. Democrats need a net gain of 3 seats with the Presidency/4 seats without the Presidency.
Democrats will lose AL(Jones-D)
Democrats will definitely gain AZ(McSally-R) and CO(Gardner-R)
Democrats have a 50-50 chance to gain NC(Tillis-R), and GA(Perdue-R).
Democrats will have a net gain of 1 seat. 48D 52R
2022. Democrats need a net gain of 2 seats with the Presidency/3 seats without the Presidency.
Only 1 Red State Democratic seat up in 2022- AZ(Kelly-D)
2 Blue state Republican seats up in 2022- PA(Toomey-R) and WI(Johnson-R).
Democrats will win AZ,PA,and WI. 50D 50R. Whoever occupies the White House breaks the tie.
Democrats have a 50-50 chance of winning Purple state Republican seats in FL(Rubio-R),GA(Isakson-R if open), IA(OPEN Grassley-R), and NC(OPEN Burr-R).
2024. Democrats win the US Presidential Election.
Red State Democratic seats up in 2024- AZ(Sinema-D), MT(Tester-D), OH(Brown-D), and WV(Manchin-D).
Democrats will hold onto AZ,MT,OH,and WV.
Republican seats up in 2024 that are considered vulnerable- FL(Scott-R) and TX(Cruz-R).