No, Hillary Clinton Isn’t Going Anywhere ("far more inevitable" than in '08) (HILLARY GROUP)
If Hillary Clinton did not have a problem, it would be necessary for the chattering classes to invent one.
Nature abhors a vacuum, journalists hate a “sure thing,” and besides, nobody wanted the Democratic nomination to be a coronation in the first place. Even so, the handwringing from Democrats that Clinton’s “sure thing” status is under threat from forces both inside and outside her camp seems at odds with the fact that she is running a very solid, effective campaign: She is leading the endorsement game by a huge margin, made a strong showing in Iowa last weekend, where she won the ringing endorsement of former senator Tom Harkin, and was reported to be “stealing the show” and “swaying doubters.”
But when you’re the frontrunner, you have nowhere to go but down. And so a dip in the polls becomes a national headline, and a narrative begins to form that Clinton could be headed for another defeat — and what’s more humiliating, a defeat that will happen for the same reasons as it did in 2008....
Nate Silver, in a post published Monday on FiveThirtyEight, lays out how Clinton’s dip in popularity was a guaranteed thing, and that “everything that’s happened to Clinton so far in the campaign is pretty much par for the course.”
Silver observes that if weren’t for “emailgate,” there would have been another scandal; if it weren’t for Sanders, there would have been another challenger, or at least a candidate who could credibly play the challenger for a time before backing down.
Political media, he says, are guilty of “a certain type of bias: rooting for the story. Inevitability makes for a really boring story, especially when it involves a figure like Clinton who has been in public life for so long.
“Being ‘inevitable,'” Silver writes, “doesn’t mean you’ll sweep through all 50 states with no opposition.” Furthermore, Clinton is far more “inevitable” now than she was in the 2008 election....
http://www.nationalmemo.com/no-hillary-clinton-isnt-going-anywhere/ via National Memo
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