Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumDo not believe the Sanders is up 6 !1!1!111!!! Thread
It is complete and total BS. I'll post my breakdown of that manipulated crap they tried to pass off as real that I posted in GDP.
This source seems suspect. Below is the Reuters/Ipsos poll from the same timeframe that is posted on the 538 website and used in their calculations.
http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131/filters/LIKELY_PRIMARY15:1,PARTY_ID_:1
It appears that the person in the article manipulated the cross tabs and posted it as an actual result.
Here is the 538 link
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/national-primary-polls/democratic/
Scroll down to feb 19-23 and click on "Ipsos Online" poll
Cha
(297,307 posts)obamanut2012
(26,080 posts)If actual and likely voters are put it, the results are very, very different.
DemonGoddess
(4,640 posts)Remember, there is a faction that would believe being behind by 10 points is actually a win. Losing a caucus by 6 points is a win as well.
We all know this is not true. We can do math, thank you.
Tanuki
(14,918 posts)vdogg
(1,384 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)the end is drawing near
Tarheel_Dem
(31,234 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Yeah that dude is famous.
He had the republicans going for quite a while lol.
Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)still_one
(92,219 posts)the respective party nominees and President, through delegates and the electoral college
That's why national polls do not really give an accurate picture of things
Also, these hypothetical match ups between possible nominees in a hypothetical general election are just that, hypothetical. It isn't real until we know who the nominees are
dlwickham
(3,316 posts)They are still posting this bullshit....
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511329032#post25
Only in a very seriously stressed world could -7 for Sanders be interpreted as +6.
Tuesday evening and Wednesday are going to be interesting around here, to say the least.