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Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
Wed Feb 24, 2016, 11:51 AM Feb 2016

How does a 90% chance at the nomination sound to you? (HRC Group)

Text cross-posted from GDP.

Chance to be Democratic nominee:
Hillary - 90%
Bernie - 10%

Chance to be President:
Hillary - 56%
Trump - 23%
Rubio - 13%
Bernie - 5%

Predictive markets look to have made up their mind for the nomination and have Hillary as the favorite for the presidency over every other challenger, Democratic or Republican, combined.

http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-winner

20 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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How does a 90% chance at the nomination sound to you? (HRC Group) (Original Post) Godhumor Feb 2016 OP
Sounds like it is a wrap to me. Go Hillary! leftofcool Feb 2016 #1
Sound like i think workinclasszero Feb 2016 #2
Sounds good mainstreetonce Feb 2016 #3
Yep. 72DejaVu Feb 2016 #5
C'mon man that's cruel Tommy2Tone Feb 2016 #7
Has a nice ring to it! pandr32 Feb 2016 #9
I like those Numbers! William769 Feb 2016 #4
Time to bring back this jingle....WELL-STRUNG Chelsea's Mom - riversedge Feb 2016 #6
Hey--I'm okay with that! pandr32 Feb 2016 #8
n/t asuhornets Feb 2016 #10
Just went to GD and I had to go 20 posts to find a pro Bernie story Tommy2Tone Feb 2016 #11
Well that's more like it... Satch59 Feb 2016 #12
Yes! eom artyteacher Feb 2016 #13
K & R Iliyah Feb 2016 #14
Sounds good to me! lunamagica Feb 2016 #15
Sounds awesome! However . . . Chichiri Feb 2016 #16
PredictWise is an aggregator of predictive markets Godhumor Feb 2016 #17
Sounds awesome to me ismnotwasm Feb 2016 #18
Likewise here! CajunBlazer Feb 2016 #19
Love this....made my day! lucca18 Feb 2016 #20

Tommy2Tone

(1,307 posts)
11. Just went to GD and I had to go 20 posts to find a pro Bernie story
Wed Feb 24, 2016, 12:50 PM
Feb 2016

Looks like Bernie crowd is in full retreat?

Satch59

(1,353 posts)
12. Well that's more like it...
Wed Feb 24, 2016, 12:51 PM
Feb 2016

What were the screaming threads with Bernie up 6pts nationally all about?

Love the GE numbers too!

Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
16. Sounds awesome! However . . .
Wed Feb 24, 2016, 03:06 PM
Feb 2016

. . . I would like to see more of predictwise's methodology. I'm not sure that the markets are sufficiently large for these numbers to be predictive, as they were when InTrade was still around.

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
17. PredictWise is an aggregator of predictive markets
Wed Feb 24, 2016, 03:08 PM
Feb 2016

And is considered THE source for how predictive markets are leaning.

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