Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumBoom! Hillary just hit the magic number!
She is now +453 for Super Tuesday, which means she will exceed her demographic-adjusted target and pull even farther away from Bernie.
Now to go for the second magic number, +478, beyond which Bernie can no longer achieve a win under his worst case scenario.
Cha
(297,187 posts)Democrats Ascendant
(601 posts)I'm curious about your source. I'd love to follow the numbers myself.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,233 posts)waiting for them to replay that segment. He says she'll be halfway to her goal once you add in the SD's.
ismnotwasm
(41,976 posts)Nice
Democrats Ascendant
(601 posts)Wikipedia (following the DNC and DelegateTracker) have her at 544, while Huffpost has her at 554. DelegateTracker has it at a beautiful 1001 with Supers.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)livetohike
(22,140 posts)Chichiri
SunSeeker
(51,550 posts)CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)RrealClearPolitics shows Hillary winning 543 delegates through Super Tuesday with Bernie winning 349 so far.
So how does that 478 number figure into this?
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)by a Bernie supporter at Dailykos.com named MattTX, who calculated a few scenarios under which Bernie could still win. His worst case scenario had Hillary winning no more than 478 delegates on Super Tuesday. At last check, she took 505.
pandr32
(11,581 posts)If that is true why is he still trying?
misterhighwasted
(9,148 posts)And the Nadar factor.
CajunBlazer
(5,648 posts)... and will hold on with all his might as the rope of possibility continues to slip through his rope burned hands until he reached the end of that rope and falls. Even then many take quite some time to hit the ground of reality hard enlighten to come to their senses.
With Bernie, it is more than that. I think he will continue his campaign as long has he can persuade his donors to keep sending him money to continue his quixotic quest. He is a true believer and his candidacy is a platform from which he can continue to preach his message of revolution and he won't give that up until he absolutely can go no further. And that's probably until the convention.
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)Realistically, however, it would involve some kind of catastrophe (which Bernie fans are hoping for and/or expecting in the form of an indictment for . . . something).
Treant
(1,968 posts)They're currently giving her +486 (the math is pretty arcane, I'm sure), so she soared past the second target and is still going...with delegates still out to be apportioned!
fleabiscuit
(4,542 posts)oasis
(49,380 posts)William769
(55,145 posts)Pledged delegates to Hillary is 587. Super Delegates to Hillary is 468. That gives Hillary a total of 1055.
Pledged delegates to Sanders is 397. Super Delegates to Sanders is 21. That gives Sanders a total of 418.
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)I'm getting them from FiveThirtyEight.
William769
(55,145 posts)Clinton 606 468 1074
Sanders 405 21 426
Her Sister
(6,444 posts)could be reason for some of the discrepancies