Exit Polls

[vdogg]

Put all exit polls here. I'll start off.

http://www.naplesnews.com/news/politics/elections/Election-2016-Unofficial-Collier-Lee-exit-poll-results-371906112.html?d=mobile

Very small sample from one locality (Naples), but Hillary is up so posting anyway.

[pandr32]

1. Thank you!

I will be checking in throughout the day!

[displacedtexan]

2. Thanks!

I'm only checking a few trusted sites today. This group is one of them. I'm not putting up with BSers today.

[UtahLib]

3. Thanks, will be checking in

[vdogg]

4. Hillary up 71-29 with early voters in FL

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/3/12/1500477/-Florida-early-vote-71-29-for-Clinton-Mason-Dixon

She may exceed her polling in this state if these margins hold today.

[6chars]

5. 75%+ in the OP exit poll

[cosmicone]

6. Yay !!! Go Hillary !!!!! n/t

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

8. But that's the Confederancy

[misterhighwasted]

16. haa

71-29??

[FloridaBlues]

7. Naples is one of our reddest and wealthiest counties

They will vote overwhelming red
But they have an active dem party.

[vdogg]

9. David Schuster posted an exit poll (rumor) that says that Bernie is winning Hispanics 65-35.

I am highly doubtful of this result. This sounds exactly like the crap they tried to pull with Nevada. When Hillary actually won the Hispanic districts.

[romana]

10. For where?

There was a poll for IL showing Sanders winning the Latino vote.

[vdogg]

11. It was for Illinois.

Still doubtful of that margin though. Also wonder what portion of the electorate they make up. I think high AA vote and split white vote may neutralize that IF true. Their polls of hispanics have been off all year though, they don't quite seem to have a handle on that yet.

[vdogg]

12. By how much.

[romana]

15. It was high

65-35. I'll see if I can find the poll--it was one that came out yesterday I think.

[misterhighwasted]

17. ya, he's always winning

[vdogg]

13. Schuster has yet to offer supporting evidence.

And people are pointing out on Twitter that the exit poll results are embargoed until 5 p.m. local time. It is still 4:30 there. This sounds like a hoax.

[vdogg]

14. Well the exit polls are out.

Too bad 99% of them are for Republicans. I hate the MSM.

[vdogg]

18. More Exit polls rolling in

AA voters make up at least 1/4 of the voters in all states except NC where they make up 1/3. Continue Obama's policies is beating out more liberal in all states but Ohio (I think, might be Illinois, have to check again). We may be looking a a big night for Clinton.

[vdogg]

19. And here we go.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/15/politics/super-tuesday-exit-polls/index.html

Majorities of Democrats in every state except Ohio said they would like to see the next president continue President Barack Obama's policies -- in Ohio, it was roughly half.

Among Democrats, Florida was the only state where the majority of voters were non-white, compared with about 4 in 10 in Illinois, about one-third in Missouri and North Carolina and about one-quarter in Ohio.

About 1 in 5 Democratic voters in each state said they made up their minds in the final days of the campaign

[vdogg]

21. I don't know what Andrea Mitchell is going on about

These exits if they hold are pointing to a Clinton blowout tbh. Also, the cross over vote in Ohio made the overall dem primary voters more democratic. This indicates to me that she'll probably carry Ohio. These exits look way better than Michigan, where by now I already knew we were in trouble.

[book_worm]

23. Good point.

[book_worm]

20. ABC exit polls

Obama policies:

One question to watch is whether voters want the next president to continue Barack Obama’s policies or to pursue more liberal ones. Hillary Clinton’s won the former group in previous states by 3-1, while Bernie Sanders has won by 2-1 among the latter. In preliminary results today, more than half overall want to continue Obama’s policies – but not a majority in Ohio.

Demographics:

Age, race and partisanship have been important in the Democratic contests to date, with Sanders running strongly among young voters and independents, Clinton among minorities and mainline Democrats. Further, part of Sanders’ performance in Michigan came on the basis of his comparatively strong showing among young black voters – a group to watch tonight.

Free trade:

Sanders took advantage of economic worries in his surprise victory in Michigan last week. Among other results, 57 percent of Democratic voters said free trade takes more jobs than it creates, and Sanders won them over Clinton by 15 percentage points, 56-41 percent. Today, in preliminary exit poll results, a similar number in Ohio likewise see free trade as a negative, vs. fewer than half in Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina. Worth keeping an eye on as the night unfolds is how these anti-free-traders vote, especially in Ohio.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-mini-super-tuesday-democratic-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37666687

[book_worm]

22. More...

Pro-business?

Sanders, relatedly, has sought to label Clinton as too pro-business, and this helped him in Michigan. But, in preliminary exit poll results today, similar numbers of Democrats see Clinton as too pro-business as see Sanders as too anti-business, including in the battleground state of Ohio.

Attributes:

Sanders also was helped in Michigan by the fact that six in 10 voters picked either honesty or empathy as the most important candidates attributes in their vote, higher than the average so far. In today’s states, more than half are focused on those traits, peaking at six in 10 in Illinois and Missouri and bottoming out at fewer than half in Florida. (Clinton, for her part, has dominated in previous contests among those focused on experience or electability.)

Beat Trump:

Another new item cuts to electability: In preliminary results, two-thirds of voters across today’s five primaries give Hillary Clinton a better chance of defeating Donald Trump in November if he were the nominee. Only three in 10 say the same of Sanders.

But there are some differences in this result across primaries: A high of three-quarters in Florida pick Clinton as better able to beat Trump, while this shifts down to about six in 10 in Ohio and Missouri. But, in all cases today, voters thought Clinton had a better chance than Sanders.

Honesty:

That said, electability has not been a key voter concern, and Clinton’s been vulnerable on the question of honesty and trustworthiness. Across today’s states, only six in 10 Democratic voters in preliminary exit poll results describe Clinton as honest and trustworthy, while eight in 10 say that about Sanders. Sanders is considered more honest in all five states today, including by a wide margin in Missouri, but also by double-digits in Ohio.

Views on this attribute differed sharply last week: In Michigan, where Sanders pulled off an upset win, 81 percent saw him as honest and trustworthy, while just 56 percent said the same about Clinton. The tables were turned – albeit not so sharply – in Mississippi.

Getting real:

Another question is whether Clinton has gained any ground by pushing back against the plausibility of Sanders’ policy proposals, measured in a set of new questions asking whether each candidate’s policies are realistic. To some extent it appears she has. Across states today, three-quarters say Clinton’s policies are realistic, fewer, just more than half, say the same about Sanders’. There’s a range across states, though, in ratings of Sanders’ policies, with the biggest gaps in Clinton’s favor in Florida and North Carolina and the smaller ones in Illinois and Missouri, with Ohio in the middle.

[book_worm]

24. 37% of GOP primary voters would consider a third party if Trump vs. Clinton

Meet the Press ‏@meetthepress 57m57 minutes ago
EXIT POLL: If the race is Trump v. Clinton in Nov., 37% of GOP primary voters say they'll consider a third party.

[book_worm]

25. 57% of IL Dems want Obama policies continued...

More than 1/2 of IL Dem voters want to see @POTUS' policies continue: http://cbsn.ws/1Uxh5On #PrimaryDay

[vdogg]

26. Woo!

That is baaaadd news for Sanders.

[KewlKat]

27. That's good news

perhaps they voted Hillary..

[bluestateguy]

29. I believe in Michigan that number was 51% for continuing Obama policies

nt

[livetohike]

30. Good! N/t

👍

[vdogg]

28. Looking better and better.

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/ohio-florida-illinois-missouri-north-carolina-democratic-primary-results/

The wide majority of Democratic primary voters said they decided who to vote for before a month ago: the percentage ranges from 57 percent in Illinois to 69 percent in Florida. About a quarter of Democratic primary voters made their decision in the last week: in Florida, it was 16 percent; in Illinois, 24 percent; in Missouri, 22 percent; in North Carolina, 25 percent; and in Ohio, 23 percent.

[book_worm]

34. Good! Fingers crossed.

[KewlKat]

31. Heavy turnout in IL - springfield

They are running out of ballots around springfield. Noone knows what to do. Some are getting some sort of slip. Calls are being made but apparently not everyone will get to vote................

[KewlKat]

32. MO - Heavy african american areas

problems with machines......throughout the day

[book_worm]

33. Ohio--4/5 Dem voters want next pres to have political experience

CBS News Politics ‏@CBSPolitics 15m15 minutes ago
4/5 OH DEM voters want the next president to have political experience:

[NewsCenter28]

35. Huffington Post tweets Exit polls: IL-50/50-Ohio-53-47 HRC-FL/63-37

And some Dem exit polls: OH: Clinton 53, Sanders 47 FL: Clinton 63, Sanders 37 IL: Clinton 50, Sanders 50

Some GOP exits: OH: Kasich 45, Trump 38 FL: Trump 47, Rubio 28 MO: Cruz 43, Trump 40 NC: Trump 39, Cruz 35 IL: Trump 40, Cruz 33

https://twitter.com/ryangrim

These numbers are not good at ALL for those of us wanting Donald Trump to run against in the fall! Not good at all!

Awesome for HRC though!

[book_worm]

37. I don't know--Trump will get all of the delegates from FL

he will have also won (if this is true) IL & NC. Cruz is pretty crazy too and somebody I think we could beat as well. Rubio would be out but it would still be Trump-Cruz & Kasich.

[book_worm]

36. Some possible exit poll results from OH, FL, IL

posted on Huff post--take with grain of salt:

Ryan Grim ‏@ryangrim 20m20 minutes ago
And some Dem exit polls:
OH: Clinton 53, Sanders 47
FL: Clinton 63, Sanders 37
IL: Clinton 50, Sanders 50

https://twitter.com/ryangrim

[book_worm]

38. 1/3 of IL Dems say "honesty and trustworthy" most important (in Mich it was 60%)

CBS News Politics ‏@CBSPolitics 6m6 minutes ago
Nearly 1/3 of IL Dem voters say "honest and trustworthy" most imp. candidate quality: http://cbsn.ws/24zybjn

[book_worm]

39. Dems in each state think that HRC would have a better chance of beating Trump than Sanders

Chuck Todd ‏@chucktodd 10m10 minutes ago
Asked Dems in exits who would have best chance against Trump: Clinton topped Sanders in every state: 63% OH, 74% FL, 68% NC, 65% IL & 58% MO

[book_worm]

40. 6/10 dem voters in Ohio are liberals

6 in 10 Democratic voters in Ohio were liberals, up from 40% in 2008:

[misterhighwasted]

41. NC 63/Hillary. 33/bernie.

Early results but a great start!!