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marmar

(77,080 posts)
Tue May 8, 2012, 09:21 AM May 2012

Europe, U.S. all out of monetary tricks


via MarketWatch:



BEIJING ( Caixin Online ) — Industrial production is stalling in India, and its credit rating may be downgraded to junk. Power consumption in China has slowed to about half of last year’s level, while consumer price inflation remains stubbornly high.

It’s obvious the world’s largest emerging economies are no longer in a position to carry the global economy through tough times, as they did during the “recovery” years of 2009-’11. And that spells trouble for the United States and Europe.

The euro-zone economy may have contracted again in the first quarter; its data fits the stagflation model quite well. Inflation grew 2.6% in the first quarter, and gross domestic product is expected to grow no more than 0.8 % this year, rising from a low base due to a contraction in the second half 2011.

Stagflation also seems to be settling over the U.S. economy. A much-hyped recovery delivered a disappointing first quarter, with preliminary estimated GDP growth up 2.2% from the previous three months and the consumer price index climbing 0.9%, or 3.6% on an annual basis. ..................(more)

The complete piece is at: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/emerging-market-woes-to-shadow-us-europe-2012-05-07?dist=beforebell



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Europe, U.S. all out of monetary tricks (Original Post) marmar May 2012 OP
du rec. nt xchrom May 2012 #1
Recced for visibility. leveymg May 2012 #2
'I suspect most countries will have to start taxing their citizens’ global earnings.' elleng May 2012 #3
Rising for things we need every day, like food and fuel Prometheus Bound May 2012 #5
Thanks. So another one of those 'statistics,' eh? elleng May 2012 #6
Time for a real fiscal solution. n/t girl gone mad May 2012 #4

leveymg

(36,418 posts)
2. Recced for visibility.
Tue May 8, 2012, 09:45 AM
May 2012

No cowbell, however. If this is going the way it looks, a generalized global slowdown with cascading cross-market inflation of commodities and consumer goods, we could be headed into a global slump of indefinite duration and a downward spiral.

elleng

(130,895 posts)
3. 'I suspect most countries will have to start taxing their citizens’ global earnings.'
Tue May 8, 2012, 05:38 PM
May 2012

I guess so!

Stagflation? What's U.S. inflation rate???

Prometheus Bound

(3,489 posts)
5. Rising for things we need every day, like food and fuel
Wed May 9, 2012, 10:12 PM
May 2012

Falling in areas that are very painful, like housing and wages

So the overall relatively low inflation rate doesn't really tell us much.

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