“Spike in Defaults”: Standard & Poor’s Gets Gloomy, Blames Fed
Spike in Defaults: Standard & Poors Gets Gloomy, Blames Fed
by Wolf Richter March 27, 2016
[font color="blue"]Hangover from years of lenient credit may become painful.[/font]
Credit rating agencies, such as Standard & Poors, are not known for early warnings. Theyre mired in conflicts of interest and reluctant to cut ratings for fear of losing clients. When they finally do warn, its late and its feeble, and the problem is already here and its big.
So Standard & Poors, via a report by S&P Capital IQ, just warned about US corporate borrowers average credit rating, which at BB, and thus in junk territory, hit a record low, even below the average we recorded in the aftermath of the 2008-2009 credit crisis.
The one-year average default rate for US companies with a credit rating of B- is 9.8%, according to Standard & Poors. Thats a 1-in-10 chance that the company will default over the next 12 months. Companies getting downgraded deep into junk and issuing more low-grade bonds are precursors to soaring defaults. ...............(more)
http://wolfstreet.com/2016/03/27/sp-gets-bearish-sees-spike-in-defaults-blames-fed/