As Age Of "Easy" Climate Change Ends, From DC To G20, It's Business And Bullshit As Usual
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Trumps early moves against U.S. fuel efficiency standards (and by extension energy and climate security) are, unfortunately, just the first subset of a two-pronged effort. Trump is also expected to direct a denier-stacked EPA to dismantle Obamas clean electrical power regulations rules aimed at incentivizing wind, solar, and lower carbon forms of fossil fuels while shutting down highly polluting coal power plants. Obamas actions would have sped renewable energy expansion while cutting U.S. carbon emissions by 26 percent (from 2005 levels) by 2025. But if Trumps new proposals go through, an extra 2 billion tons of CO2-equivalent gasses could be coming from U.S. smokestacks and tailpipes by that time.
G20 Promotes Market Magic as Solution to Climate Change
Trumps policy moves also appear to be aimed at hollowing out international actions on climate change. A recent draft of the upcoming G-20 Summit, a meeting of finance ministers from the worlds top 20 industrialized nations, backed away from key commitments to combat climate change. The G-20s preliminary policy statement removed language supporting the Paris Climate treaty (only 47 words address the treaty now as opposed to 163 words in 2016), appears to have reneged on $100 billion worth of commitments from wealthy nations to fund renewable energy and greenhouse gas emissions cuts, and relies on multilateral development banks to raise private funds to accomplish goals set under the 2015 Paris climate accord.
John Kirton, director of the University of Torontos G-20 Research Group, in an interview with Bloomberg noted that the new policy statement
basically says governments are irrelevant. Its complete faith in the magic of the marketplace. That is very different from the existing commitments they have repeatedly made. Its worth noting that Trumps appointed treasury secretary Steven Mnuchin is the U.S. lead for G-20-related climate policy, so this new direction for the G-20 cant entirely be separated from Trump or from his former Goldman Sachs employee Treasury Secretary.
All these prospective national and global climate policy reversals come as the climate situation continues to worsen and damages from climate change related disasters escalate. We are currently in the process of warming from 1.2 C (present global temperature departure) above 1880s averages to 2 C above average. The amount of damage coming from this next degree of warming will be considerably more than the amount of damage that occurred as we warmed from 0.5 to 1.2 C above average from the 1980s to now.
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(According to reinsurer Munich Re, the number of natural disasters has more than doubled since the early 1980s. Growth in the number of natural disasters all come from meteorological events, hydrological events, and climatological events all which are influenced by warming global temperatures. Image source: Munich Re.)
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https://robertscribbler.com/2017/03/15/an-agenda-harmful-to-the-american-people/#comments