RIMS 2016: Sea Level Rise Will Be Worse and Come Sooner

[GliderGuider]

The insurance industry is always among the first to take this stuff seriously, and with good reason. If you live in Miami, maybe it's time to think about moving to higher ground. 3 meters by 2050-2060? Based on NOAA data? Shit. I hope the article is a hoax, but it doesn't feel like it.

On edit: I poked around the net a bit more looking at the RIMS conference web site, and read the article carefully. It's not a hoax. Double shit. Can you say "Faster than expected, boys and girls? I knew you could."

Sea Level Rise Will Be Worse and Come Sooner

Sea levels could rise by much more than originally anticipated, and much faster, according to new data being collected by scientists studying the melting West Antarctic ice sheet – a massive sheet the size of Mexico.

That revelation was made by an official with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Tuesday at the annual RIMS conference for risk management and insurance professionals in San Diego, Calif. The conference is being attended by more than 10,000 people, according to organizers. It was day No. 3 of the conference, which ends Wednesday.

Margaret Davidson, NOAA’s senior advisor for coastal inundation and resilience science and services, and Michael Angelina, executive director of the Academy of Risk Management and Insurance, offered their take on climate change data in a conference session titled “Environmental Intelligence: Quantifying the Risks of Climate Change.”

Davidson said recent data that has been collected but has yet to be made official indicates sea levels could rise by roughly 3 meters or 9 feet by 2050-2060, far higher and quicker than current projections. Until now most projections have warned of seal level rise of up to 4 feet by 2100.

[Gregorian]

1. Additional to carbon forcing due to present emissions, there is also that from years before.

" half life of 27 years equivalent to a residence time of 39 years. "

http://euanmearns.com/the-half-life-of-co2-in-earths-atmosphere-part-1/

So if we stopped everything today, it would still be causing trouble for at least a few decades. That's the part that worries me, because we're actually INCREASING fossil fuel use.

I talk to a few bright friends who have been on this level since forever, and the consensus is I said the line in the sand is behind us. Now it's just what to do next. We'll be busy doing something productive. Our militaries would be working on harbors and things all around the world. Maybe this isn't such a bad thing after all.

[saturnsring]

2. they all say that, worse than expected, sooner than expected like these over the last couple of days

Global warming may be far worse than thought, cloud analysis suggests

'Scarier Than We Initially Thought': CDC Sounds Warning On Zika Virus

Sea Level Rise Will Be Worse and Come Sooner

[GliderGuider]

3. Looks like I picked the wrong week...