Foreign Affairs
Related: About this forumPutin needs the Ukraine-war to keep going indefinitely to distract Russians from domestic problems.
This conclusion is loosely based on what the russian political analyst Vlad Vexler said, and it matches what I have seen in other russian media.
It basically goes like this:
Russia has been in an on-going cultural crisis since the collapse of the Soviet-Union. They haven't figured out yet, what kind of country they want to be. Capitalism and democracy are foreign concepts, which makes it really hard for Russians to accept them. They want something of their own, something uniquely of russian culture.
THE RUSSIANS WANT TO BE A BETTER COUNTRY... but they don't know how. They can feel that something is missing from their lives, but they cannot tell what.
In this void jumped Putin and his cabal: They concocted this nationalist narrative that Russia is under constant attacks by the West and this FINALLY gave the Russians a sense of purpose.
Who are we?
We are the ones who stand in opposition to the West.
But this narrative has not made the russian desire for reforms go away.
Three days after the begin of the Ukraine-war, the russian newspaper Ria Novosti accidently published a pre-written online-article celebrating Ukraine's capitulation. You could feel the joy and hope in the very first paragraph, where they wrote that now that Ukraine has been brought back into the fold, now is the time for "massive socio-political reforms".
What are these reforms? If they are so important, how come Putin hasn't already enacted them in his 20 years in power??? What do the Russians want????? They don't know.
The Ukraine-war is a distraction to keep the Russians from thinking about their domestic problems, to keep them from following this dangerous line of thought that Russia should be different: a country that celebrates and values its dozens of cultures and ethnicities instead of parading them around for propaganda, a country of economic equality and not of oligarchy, a country where the government doesn't lord over every single aspect of your entire life............
But as long as the war is on, even the tiniest of political reforms is doomed to fail. And any dissent with Putin brands you as an agent of the West.
And the russian media is in on it: They love talking about the present state of the war, but they don't talk about how it started and they don't talk about how it could possibly end.
Russia is now in a PERMANENT state of war that must not be questioned by the citizens and that must never end.
Lovie777
(12,281 posts)But of course, Russia is run by madmen.....
DetlefK
(16,423 posts)The crusades were launched as a political tool the cement the Catholic Church's authority in Europe.
The Falkland-War in the 1980s was fought between Britain and Argentina over a bunch of worthless rocks in the Atlantic Ocean, in order to distract from Prime-Minister Margaret Thatcher's catastrophic economic reforms.
The Iraq-War in 2003 was supposed to be a give-away to US oil-companies.
Brexit was supposed to be a disctraction from corruption in the UK government.
And now the Ukraine-war is an excuse to keep Putin's corrupt and authoritarian regime in place forever, because otherwise the West will have won.
Backseat Driver
(4,393 posts)"They can feel that something is missing from their lives, but they cannot tell what."???
With lots of pictures
Russia is Struggling with a Shitty Problem. Literally.
19 April, 2020 45203
https://en.hromadske.ua/posts/russia-is-struggling-with-a-shitty-problem-literally
(Link is self-explanatory)!
Bernardo de La Paz
(49,011 posts)Russians know it is more than just a "special operation".
They know it is Putin's war.
Putin owns the last 22 years.
Potemkin regimes last only as long as the frontages stay up and only as long as nobody goes behind them to look. The exact path whereby one of many cracks is exploited and the regime tumbles is unknowable and problematic. But Putin's regime will fall before long. He can't win his war. He is like a tank in mud, digging in deeper spinning its treads, but still firing its gun here and there.
The frontages are crumbling because Russians are noticing losses of rights, diminished incomes, lack of Western products, and a military that has been revealed to be weak and uncaring for conscripts.
Granted, they have a very restricted main stream media giving them a very narrow propaganda view, but they also have smart phones.
As in all authoritarian countries, there is a social contract. The people say "Let me get on with living and making a living and I'll not bother myself about whatever crackdowns you feel you need to do." But Putin has broken it, and Russians know who broke it.